Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group III Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Result
2:2
12/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Baranowski F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Lutostanski J. ,
  • 65', 🟥,
  • 77', 2 - 1, ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Polkowice
73.1%
Draw
14.6%
Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 21.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 20.4% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polkowice's performance.
  • Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polkowice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.52)
    6.95
    (4.28)
    8.28
    (4.79)
    -1.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 3.
    • Polkowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Warta Gorzów has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Polkowice is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polkowice won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 1:0
    19.10.2024 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice 0:3
    06.04.2024 Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 1:1
    09.09.2023 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice 0:0
    Latest results of Polkowice
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Polkowice861114:8619
    2BKS Sparta Katowice853014:6818
    3Zielona Gora852119:61317
    4Nysa842214:6814
    5Woliborz842215:12314
    6Gornik Zabrze II841317:11613
    7Goczalkowice Zdroj833215:8712
    8Carina Gubin833214:12212
    9Skra825114:13111
    10Zaglebie II832321:21011
    11Kluczbork832314:11311
    12Jelenia Gora822413:18-58
    13Starowice Dolne82246:12-68
    14Warta Gorzow814310:14-47
    15Sleza Wroclaw82157:17-107
    16Stal Jasien820611:26-156
    17Pawlowice81256:12-65
    18Legnica II81169:20-114

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation