Polonia Nysa vs Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Szota N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 88', 1 - 1, Gardzielewicz K. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Nysa
38.2%
Draw
25.8%
Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 25.7% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 25% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Nysa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.71)
    3.52
    (3.53)
    2.51
    (2.23)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Polonia Nysa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Warta Gorzów is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski were as follows:
    25.03.2023 Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Nysa
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora21137153:114246
    2BKS Sparta Katowice22127338:221643
    3Polkowice21134436:241243
    4Zaglebie II22125555:342141
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj21107434:231137
    6Warta Gorzow2295838:35332
    7Skra2188542:40232
    8Sleza Wroclaw2294933:39-631
    9Carina Gubin2178631:36-529
    10Kluczbork2185836:29729
    11Gornik Zabrze II22841046:311528
    12Jelenia Gora2075832:32026
    13Nysa2168733:37-426
    14Woliborz22751032:38-626
    15Legnica II21551135:43-820
    16Pawlowice22531422:43-2118
    17Starowice Dolne22451319:50-3117
    18Stal Jasien22211921:69-487

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