Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
08/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
183
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
20
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. (Pen),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Hermoso K. , Gojny D. (A),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rajsel N. , Shibata S. ,
  • 51', Hermoso K. 🟨,
  • 52', Feliks M. , Firlej M. ,
  • 52', Drzazga K. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 52', Kopczynski M. , Gaska D. ,
  • 64', Kocyla D. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 64', Majchrzak J. , Sobczak S. ,
  • 74', Ratajczyk A. , Vitalucci H. ,
  • 83', Kocaba F. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 83', Sidibe A. , Rzuchowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
64.9%
Draw
22.6%
Warta Poznań
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 21.9% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 20.9% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.43)
    4.15
    (4.27)
    7.37
    (7.18)
    7.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Arka (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arka Gdynia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Arka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Warta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arka is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arka to win the game is with odds 1.43.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań 1:0
    21.09.2024 Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia 0:1
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2