Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań
Result
3:0
08/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
183
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
20
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. (Pen),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Hermoso K. , Gojny D. (A),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rajsel N. , Shibata S. ,
  • 51', Hermoso K. 🟨,
  • 52', Feliks M. , Firlej M. ,
  • 52', Drzazga K. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 52', Kopczynski M. , Gaska D. ,
  • 64', Kocyla D. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 64', Majchrzak J. , Sobczak S. ,
  • 74', Ratajczyk A. , Vitalucci H. ,
  • 83', Kocaba F. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 83', Sidibe A. , Rzuchowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
64.9%
Draw
22.6%
Warta Poznań
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 21.9% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 20.9% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.43)
    4.15
    (4.27)
    7.37
    (7.18)
    7.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Arka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Warta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arka is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arka to win the game is with odds 1.43.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań 1:0
    21.09.2024 Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia 0:1
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla550023:51815
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow541014:31113
    3Grodzisk M732214:10411
    4Slask Wroclaw632111:7411
    5Tychy632113:11211
    6LKS Lodz731312:11110
    7Chrobry Glogow723211:929
    8Polonia Warszawa723212:13-19
    9Polonia Bytom63037:8-19
    10Pogon Siedlce62227:528
    11Ruch Chorzow62228:718
    12Odra Opole62225:7-28
    13S. Rzeszow72239:13-48
    14Legnica721411:17-67
    15Stal Mielec62139:15-67
    16Puszcza60427:9-24
    17Leczna60427:11-44
    18Pruszkow60066:25-190

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2