Olimpia Grudziądz vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
26/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
50
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
97
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Kusztal P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Frelek D. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Czajka B. ,
  • 55', Szymanek K. 🟨,
  • 57', Avdeev D. 🟨,
  • 65', Kusztal P. , Walus F. ,
  • 73', 2 - 3, Stanek M. , Stefaniak M. (A),
  • 74', Cichon K. , Fietz K. ,
  • 74', Mas M. , Pawlowski M. ,
  • 76', Moneta L. , Koperski F. ,
  • 76', Tsyupa I. , Brzek B. ,
  • 76', Stanek M. , Smoczynski M. ,
  • 80', Stolc P. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Walus F. ,
  • 90+1', Szymanek K. , Zylla M. ,
  • 90+1', Steblecki S. , Dziedzic K. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Grudziądz
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Warta Poznań
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.02)
    3.7
    (3.13)
    4.01
    (3.18)
    9.3%
    (12.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.
    • Olimpia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Warta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz 3:2
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice29185658:382059
    2Warta Poznan291510450:331755
    3Ol. Grudziadz29158659:372253
    4Podhale Nowy Targ291212540:281248
    5Sandecja Nowy S291211647:351247
    6Podbeskidzie291361053:411245
    7Slask Wroclaw II291271050:42843
    8Chojniczanka29119946:39742
    9Swit Szczecin291171146:51-540
    10R. Rzeszow291091042:39339
    11Hutnik Krakow291091042:36639
    12Bielsko-Biala299101040:44-437
    13S. Wola29714847:41635
    14Kleczew29971343:48-534
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec29861533:55-2230
    16KKS Kalisz296101332:46-1428
    17LKS Lodz II29591529:53-2424
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 29072218:69-516

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to