Warta Poznań vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Radecki M. 🟨,
  • 34', Furtak L. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Wojcinowicz T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Walus F. , Szymanek K. ,
  • 56', Rychert K. , Zalewski S. ,
  • 63', Wolny D. , Lacki D. ,
  • 63', Kendzia J. , Kukulowicz B. ,
  • 65', Smoczynski M. , Stanek M. ,
  • 65', Dziedzic K. , Steblecki S. ,
  • 69', Radecki M. , Nowak O. ,
  • 69', Svec J. , Tomalski H. ,
  • 72', Tomalski H. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Szymanek K. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Zylla M. ,
  • 79', Hrnciar L. , Niedbala J. ,
  • 81', Zylla M. , Wojciechowski I. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Nowak O. ,
  • 87', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
  • 87', Zemlo P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
38.5%
Draw
28.2%
Stal Stalowa Wola
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 27.5% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 27.7% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.27
    (3.28)
    2.77
    (2.62)
    8.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3.
    • Warta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań 0:0
    10.08.2024 Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:0
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice24173452:292354
    2Warta Poznan24129340:271345
    3Ol. Grudziadz24128449:311844
    4Sandecja Nowy S24117638:30840
    5Podhale Nowy Targ241010430:22840
    6Swit Szczecin24107740:38237
    7Slask Wroclaw II24106844:35936
    8Podbeskidzie2496940:36433
    9Kleczew2487941:37431
    10Chojniczanka2487935:33231
    11Hutnik Krakow24861034:33130
    12S. Wola24611741:36529
    13R. Rzeszow2478930:34-429
    14Zaglebie Sosnowiec24761129:45-1627
    15Bielsko-Biala24681031:41-1026
    16KKS Kalisz24581124:36-1223
    17LKS Lodz II24481226:45-1920
    18GKS Jastrzebie24071718:54-366

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation