Warta Poznań vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Radecki M. 🟨,
  • 34', Furtak L. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Wojcinowicz T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Walus F. , Szymanek K. ,
  • 56', Rychert K. , Zalewski S. ,
  • 63', Wolny D. , Lacki D. ,
  • 63', Kendzia J. , Kukulowicz B. ,
  • 65', Smoczynski M. , Stanek M. ,
  • 65', Dziedzic K. , Steblecki S. ,
  • 69', Radecki M. , Nowak O. ,
  • 69', Svec J. , Tomalski H. ,
  • 72', Tomalski H. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Szymanek K. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Zylla M. ,
  • 79', Hrnciar L. , Niedbala J. ,
  • 81', Zylla M. , Wojciechowski I. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Nowak O. ,
  • 87', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
  • 87', Zemlo P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
38.5%
Draw
28.2%
Stal Stalowa Wola
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 27.5% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 27.7% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.27
    (3.28)
    2.77
    (2.62)
    8.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3.
    • Warta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Warta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań 0:0
    10.08.2024 Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:0
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice20142441:221944
    2Ol. Grudziadz21117341:281340
    3Warta Poznan20116334:231139
    4Podhale Nowy Targ2199325:17836
    5Swit Szczecin2095639:35432
    6Sandecja Nowy S2086631:28330
    7Podbeskidzie2185835:33229
    8R. Rzeszow2177728:26228
    9S. Wola2069538:31727
    10Slask Wroclaw II2176837:35227
    11Chojniczanka2067732:31125
    12Kleczew2066835:33224
    13Hutnik Krakow2166931:32-124
    14Bielsko-Biala2066828:35-724
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec2065923:33-1023
    16KKS Kalisz2047921:31-1019
    17LKS Lodz II20281021:37-1614
    18GKS Jastrzebie20071316:46-307

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation