Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
28/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2529
Shots off target
1312
Shooting PCT
24% (6/25)6.9% (2/29)
Blocked shots
1312
Goalkeeper Saves
2719
Saves PCT
93.1% (27/29)79.17% (19/24)
Penalties
54
PIM
108
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (4/4)
Hits
1320
Faceoffs Won
2727
Faceoffs %
5050
Giveaways
1615
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:30, 1 - 0, Caufield C. (G),
  • 06:06, Duhaime B. (2 min),
  • 08:24, Matheson M. (2 min),
  • 13:16, 1 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Beauvillier A. (A), Chisholm D. (A2)
  • 14:19, 2 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Struble J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 10:09, Leonard R. (2 min),
  • 12:22, 3 - 1, Matheson M. (G), Bolduc Z. (A), Newhook A. (A2)
  • 16:34, 4 - 1, Dach K. (G), Suzuki N. (A),
  • 17:17, Gallagher B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 06:00, Dowd N. (2 min),
  • 06:00, Dach K. (2 min),
  • 07:51, Dobson N. (2 min),
  • 12:12, 4 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Strome D. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
  • 13:33, McMichael C. (2 min),
  • 16:44, 5 - 2, Suzuki N. (G),
  • 17:37, Carrier A. (2 min),
  • 18:34, 6 - 2, Evans J. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
47.2%
Draw
22.4%
Washington Capitals
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 22.6% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 22.9% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.17)
    4.25
    (4.19)
    3.1
    (2.79)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5, 3rd Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montreal Canadiens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Washington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Laine P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Washington: Carlson J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 59:85. (average 3:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 3.6:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens 3:2
    20.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 4:8
    30.04.2025 Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens 4:1
    27.04.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 2:5
    25.04.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 6:3
    Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    11Los Angeles Kings601591422155:17962
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders622312522183:17775
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )