Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

American football NFL Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders
Result
34:27
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NFL - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandRuutu+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
polandPolandPolsat Sport Fight
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Sky Sports Football
worldWorldNFL Game Pass

Match Stats

1st Downs
2417
Total Yards
435294
Passing Yards
307147
Rushing Yards
128147
Penalties
56
Penalties Yards
4550
Turnovers
11
Punts
22
Touchdowns
42
Rushing Touchdowns
20
Passing Touchdowns
22
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
24
Field Goals Attempted
24
Interception Thrown
11
Fumbles Lost
00
Sacks Allowed
12
Safeties
00
2-Point conversions
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (10 - 0)
  • 04:14, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
  • 14:11, London D. (Touchdown),
  • 14:11, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
  • 03:29, McCaffrey L. (Touchdown),
  • 03:29, Gay M. (Extra Point),
  • 06:33, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
  • 06:33, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 09:36, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 6)
  • 04:48, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 05:35, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
  • 05:35, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 10:38, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 14:46, Allgeier T. (Touchdown),
  • 14:46, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 4th Quarter (3 - 11)
  • 06:12, Samuel D. (Touchdown),
  • 06:12, Ertz Z. (Two-Point Conversion),
  • 13:03, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
  • 13:31, Gay M. (Field Goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5xb8cv8h

Chances of winning


Atlanta Falcons
57.7%
Washington Commanders
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 50.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.
  • Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Commanders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Falcons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Commanders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.99)

    2.26
    (1.85)
    5%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 50%). Washington (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Washington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 227:219. (average 22.7:21.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 128:139. (average 21.3:23.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons 30:24
    15.10.2023 Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders 16:24
    27.11.2022 Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons 19:13
    Latest results of Atlanta Falcons
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