Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals
Result
1:4
04/05/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
10
2B - double
03
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Left on base
77
Base on Balls
41
Strikeouts
138
Stolen bases
12
At bat
3135
Batting Average
0.1610.257

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati Reds
50.2%
Washington Nationals
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.82)

    1.93
    (2.03)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Washington will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Washington (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J. (Shoulder Injury) Antone T. (Elbow Injury) Candelario J. (Back Injury) Encarnacion-Strand C. (Back Injury) Gibaut I. (Shoulder Injury) Lowder R. (Forearm injury) Miley W. (Elbow Injury) Staumont J. (Injury) Williamson B. (Elbow Injury) Young A. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Washington: Cavalli C. (Elbow Injury) Chaparro A. (Abdominal strain) DeJong P. (Broken nose) Gray J. (Elbow Injury) Herz D. P. (Elbow Injury) Ribalta O. (Arm Injury) Thompson M. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Moll S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 104:98. (average 5.2:4.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:60. (average 5.3:6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:11
    02.05.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Washington Nationals 6:1
    21.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:2
    20.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 5:4
    19.07.2024 Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds 8:5
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers955936471:3720.621
    2Toronto Blue Jays945539434:4130.585
    3Houston Astros945539412:3530.585
    4New York Yankees945341498:3810.564
    5Boston Red Sox965145486:4290.531
    6Tampa Bay Rays955045448:3830.526
    7Seattle Mariners944945428:4080.521
    8Texas Rangers954748384:3400.495
    9Los Angeles Angels944648407:4700.489
    10Minnesota Twins944648389:4040.489
    11Kansas City Royals954649324:3510.484
    12Cleveland Guardians934449341:3910.473
    13Baltimore Orioles934350392:4660.462
    14Athletics963957407:5450.406
    15Chicago White Sox953263325:4180.337


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers955639511:4460.589
    2Chicago Cubs945539503:3900.585
    3Milwaukee Brewers945440443:3700.574
    4Philadelphia Phillies945440432:3690.574
    5New York Mets955441421:3770.568
    6San Francisco Giants955243396:3750.547
    7San Diego Padres945143377:3700.543
    8St.Louis Cardinals955045433:4160.526
    9Cincinnati Reds954847433:4050.505
    10Arizona Diamondbacks954649483:4770.484
    11Miami Marlins934251391:4620.452
    12Atlanta Braves934152377:3750.441
    13Washington Nationals943856411:5050.404
    14Pittsburgh Pirates953857320:3660.400
    15Colorado Rockies942272331:5810.234

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