Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki vs Wasilków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 🟥,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Wojciechowski M. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Olpinski A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 3 - 0, Glowacki S. ,

Chances of winning


Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
59.7%
Draw
22%
Wasilków
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 19.8% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 13.8% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wasilków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.41)
    4.13
    (4.5)
    4.96
    (5.2)
    10.3%
    (12.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Świt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wasilków is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Wasilków has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Świt is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Świt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Wasilków - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 0:3
    Latest results of Wasilków
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation