Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (409/510) | 60% (177/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (409/510) | 60% (177/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (42/90) | 38% (36/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (105/144) | 48% (67/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Coote A. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
- 17', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 34', Norris J. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Noonan C. ⚽, Dempsey J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Glenfield S. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 54', Dempsey J. 🟨,
- 59', Mbeng M. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 60', Dempsey J. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 60', Norris J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 68', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
- 68', Lunney J. ↓, Henry-Francis J. ↑,
- 73', Rossiter J. 🟨,
- 75', Miles J. ↓, Mansfield R. ↑,
- 76', McInroy K. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 77', Burke R. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Wood H. (Pen),
- 90', Odubeko A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bone S. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
- 90+1', Horton G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne
68.7% | Draw
19.9% | Waterford United
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shelbourne - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.62) |
5 ↑
(3.95) |
9.16 ↑
(4.95) |
2.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
- Shelbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waterford has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Shelbourne is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Kearns C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Shelbourne: Wilson T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Waterford United?
Shelbourne has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Shelbourne?
Waterford United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Waterford United were as follows:
23.06.2025
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
2:2
05.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
0:1
21.02.2025
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
18.10.2024
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
3:1
13.06.2024
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 39:52 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
