Result
2:2
23/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 21
- Referee: Houlihan M. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (234/339) | 80% (382/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (234/339) | 80% (382/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (16/71) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (41/99) | 68% (97/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Wood H. ⚽, Odubeko A. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Horton G. ⚽,
- 14', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Amond P. ⚽,
- 49', 2 - 2, Wood H. ⚽,
- 56', Wilson T. 🟨,
- 61', Dempsey J. ↓, Boyle A. ↑,
- 62', Wilson T. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
- 62', Caffrey E. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 72', Glenfield S. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 72', Wood H. 🟨,
- 74', Coote A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 74', Coyle M. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,
- 76', Olayinka J. 🟨,
- 83', Horton G. ↓, McCormack B. ↑,
- 84', McDonald R. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 85', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 90+2', Boyle A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waterford United
35.6% | Draw
28.6% | Shelbourne
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shelbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Waterford United - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↓
(2.85) |
3.24 ↓
(3.35) |
2.59 ↑
(2.33) |
7.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Waterford United - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Waterford: Coyle T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Radkowski K.
(Injury)
Smith M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Martin J.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Shelbourne?
Waterford United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Waterford United?
Shelbourne has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - Shelbourne were as follows:
05.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
0:1
21.02.2025
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
18.10.2024
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
3:1
13.06.2024
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
17.05.2024
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
1:0
Latest results of Waterford United
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30:22 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Waterford | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 30 |
| 8 | Galway | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 23 |
| 10 | Cork City | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
