Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
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13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (409/510) | 60% (177/293) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 1.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.98 | 1.10 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
80% (409/510) | 60% (177/293) |
Long passes |
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47% (42/90) | 38% (36/96) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (105/144) | 48% (67/139) |
Crosses |
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26% (5/19) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.52 | 0.96 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.10 | 1.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.10 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Coote A. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
- 17', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 34', Norris J. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Noonan C. ⚽, Dempsey J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Glenfield S. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 54', Dempsey J. 🟨,
- 59', Mbeng M. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 60', Dempsey J. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 60', Norris J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 68', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
- 68', Lunney J. ↓, Henry-Francis J. ↑,
- 73', Rossiter J. 🟨,
- 75', Miles J. ↓, Mansfield R. ↑,
- 76', McInroy K. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 77', Burke R. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Wood H. (Pen),
- 90', Odubeko A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bone S. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
- 90+1', Horton G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne 68.7% | Draw 19.9% | Waterford United 11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shelbourne - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.62) |
5 ↑ (3.95) |
9.16 ↑ (4.95) |
2.8% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
- Shelbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waterford has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Shelbourne is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Kearns C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Shelbourne: Wilson T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Waterford United?
Shelbourne has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Shelbourne?
Waterford United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Waterford United were as follows:
23.06.2025
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
2:2
05.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
0:1
21.02.2025
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
18.10.2024
Shelbourne
-
Waterford United
3:1
13.06.2024
Waterford United
-
Shelbourne
0:1
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53:27 | 26 | 63 |
2 | Derry City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 51 |
3 | Bohemians | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:33 | 9 | 50 |
4 | Drogheda | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 47 |
5 | St. Patricks | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:48 | -10 | 37 |
8 | Galway | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 |
9 | Waterford | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 34 |
10 | Cork City | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31:56 | -25 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1