Result
0:0
20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (165/280) | 66% (204/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (165/280) | 66% (204/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/78) | 41% (36/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (56/118) | 53% (60/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Mahon J. 🟨,
- 42', Harkin C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Blaney S. ↓, McElroy G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Denham O. 🟨,
- 48', Amond P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Meekison A. ↓, Hakiki J. ↑,
- 58', Harkin C. ↓, Patton D. ↑,
- 64', Esua J. 🟨,
- 72', Lonergan T. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 72', Coyle T. ↓, McLaughlin E. ↑,
- 79', O'Kane R. 🟨,
- 79', Voilas J. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 81', Esua J. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,
- 81', Patton D. ↓, McHugh C. ↑,
- 81', Noonan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waterford
51.2% | Draw
25.8% | Sligo Rovers
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waterford's performance.Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Waterford - Sligo Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.07) |
3.65 ↑
(3.57) |
4.07 ↑
(3.37) |
6.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford - Sligo Rovers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waterford: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Waterford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1.
- Waterford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sligo Rovers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Waterford could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Waterford: Doherty A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sligo Rovers: McHugh C.
(Inactive)
Reynolds C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Sligo Rovers?
Waterford has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Waterford?
Sligo Rovers has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
22.08.2025
Waterford
-
Sligo Rovers
1:2
14.06.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Waterford
1:0
18.04.2025
Waterford
-
Sligo Rovers
0:4
15.02.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
Waterford
2:3
31.08.2024
Sligo Rovers
-
Waterford
2:0
Latest results of Waterford
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Drogheda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Derry City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Waterford | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Galway | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | St. Patricks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
