Watford vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 43
Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.95
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
72% (215/298)	88% (496/566)
Yellow Cards
7	4
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	2.23
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	2
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
10	22
Through passes
0% (0/1)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
3	17
Passes
72% (215/298)	88% (496/566)
Long passes
45% (25/56)	49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
51% (39/77)	83% (158/191)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	1.54
Fouls
17	3
Tackles
63% (10/16)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
38	48
Clearances Total
15	12
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
2.23	1.25
Goals prevented
0.23	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Doumbia M. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
59', Sissoko M. 🟨,
60', Sissoko M. 🟨,
61', Flemming Z. 🟨,
66', Cullen J. 🟨,
66', Kayembe E. 🟨,
69', Kayembe E. 🟨,
69', Louza I. 🟨,
72', Edwards M. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
75', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
75', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
75', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
84', Bayo V. 🟨,
85', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
85', Louza I. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
88', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
90+7', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+7', Andrews R. 🟨,
90+7', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
90+8', Trafford J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Watford
18.9%

Draw
27.3%

Burnley
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.7%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

27.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Watford - Burnley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (3.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	1.77 ↓ (1.99)	4.8% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : CBSSN

What is the prediction for Watford - Burnley?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burnley will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 1.
Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Chakvetadze G. (Injury) Ogbonna A. (Illness)
There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Keben K. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Burnley?

Watford has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Watford?

Burnley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Burnley were as follows:

21.12.2024 Burnley - Watford 2:1

14.02.2023 Burnley - Watford 1:1

Latest results of Watford

12.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Watford 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Watford - Hull City 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Bristol City - Watford 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Burnley

11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Coventry City - Burnley 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84:42	42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71:40	31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	9	73
4	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	20	72
5	Southampton	41	19	12	10	70:50	20	69
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	-1	56
16	Stoke	42	15	10	17	49:46	3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	-12	49
19	Blackburn	42	12	12	18	38:50	-12	48
20	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	-14	46
21	Portsmouth	41	11	12	18	41:57	-16	45
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One