Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 43
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (215/298) | 88% (496/566) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (215/298) | 88% (496/566) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (39/77) | 83% (158/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.54 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Doumbia M. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
- 59', Sissoko M. 🟨,
- 60', Sissoko M. 🟨,
- 61', Flemming Z. 🟨,
- 66', Cullen J. 🟨,
- 66', Kayembe E. 🟨,
- 69', Kayembe E. 🟨,
- 69', Louza I. 🟨,
- 72', Edwards M. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
- 75', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
- 75', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
- 75', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 84', Bayo V. 🟨,
- 85', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
- 85', Louza I. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
- 88', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 90+7', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 90+7', Andrews R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Trafford J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
18.9% | Draw
27.3% | Burnley
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Watford - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(3.85) |
3.48 ↑
(3.42) |
1.77 ↓
(1.99) |
4.8%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers) Network on : CBSSN
What is the prediction for Watford - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burnley will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 1.
- Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Burnley is a favorite.
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Chakvetadze G.
(Injury)
Ogbonna A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Muscle Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Ankle Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
Shelvey J.
(Leg Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Keben K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Burnley?
Watford has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Watford?
Burnley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Burnley were as follows:
21.12.2024
Burnley
-
Watford
2:1
14.02.2023
Burnley
-
Watford
1:1
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Burnley
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
