Watford vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 13
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	0.75
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
81% (343/425)	87% (428/490)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	0.35
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
13	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
81% (343/425)	87% (428/490)
Long passes
43% (26/61)	61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)	77% (130/168)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.88
Throw-ins
11	17
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
67% (6/9)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
38	47
Clearances
25	12
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.35	1.85
Goals prevented
0.35	-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Louza I. ⚽, Baah K. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Ngakia J. (A),
34', Baah K. 🟨,
45', Keben K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Doumbia M. (A),
57', Ayling L. 🟨,
62', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
70', Jones A. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
70', Burgzorg D. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
70', Morris A. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
71', Hackney H. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
71', Conway T. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
77', Baah K. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
77', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
88', Louza I. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
89', Doumbia M. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Watford
34.9%

Draw
27.8%

Middlesbrough
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Watford - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.87)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Watford - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Watford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Abankwah J. (Red Card) Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Wiley C. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Watford won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Middlesbrough?

Watford has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Watford?

Middlesbrough has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Middlesbrough were as follows:

15.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Watford 0:1

05.10.2024 Watford - Middlesbrough 2:1

04.05.2024 Middlesbrough - Watford 3:1

30.09.2023 Watford - Middlesbrough 2:3

28.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Watford 2:0

Latest results of Watford

25.10.2025 Coventry City - Watford 3:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Watford - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Sheffield United - Watford 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Watford - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

25.10.2025 Middlesbrough - Wrexham 1:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough 0:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Portsmouth - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84:42	42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71:40	31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	9	73
4	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	20	72
5	Southampton	41	19	12	10	70:50	20	69
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	-1	56
16	Stoke	42	15	10	17	49:46	3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	-12	49
19	Blackburn	42	12	12	18	38:50	-12	48
20	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	-14	46
21	Portsmouth	41	11	12	18	41:57	-16	45
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One