Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 24
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (350/443) | 75% (278/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (350/443) | 75% (278/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (104/152) | 59% (39/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 60', Mahovo L. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
- 60', Wright J. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
- 66', Ngakia J. 🟨,
- 66', Ngakia J. ↓, Abankwah J. ↑,
- 66', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 71', Springett T. ↓, Gibbs L. ↑,
- 79', Maamma O. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 83', Schwartau O. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
- 83', Sargent J. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 86', Ince T. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 1, Semedo V. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
Chances of winning
Norwich City
36.2% | Draw
28.3% | Watford
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Norwich City - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↓
(2.78) |
3.35 ↓
(3.38) |
2.67 ↑
(2.43) |
5.3%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Watford?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 24.7% – 57.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Watford (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Norwich (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Watford (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Norwich (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 9 - 60%). Watford (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 4.
- Norwich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Watford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doumbia M.
(International duty)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(International duty)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Sargent J.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Watford?
Norwich City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Norwich City?
Watford has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Watford were as follows:
06.12.2025
Watford
-
Norwich City
3:2
12.08.2025
Watford
-
Norwich City
1:2
01.02.2025
Watford
-
Norwich City
0:1
21.09.2024
Norwich City
-
Watford
4:1
13.02.2024
Norwich City
-
Watford
4:2
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
