Norwich City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Carrow Road (Norwich).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.42
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
79% (350/443)	75% (278/369)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.22	0.36
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
27	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
79% (350/443)	75% (278/369)
Long passes
43% (22/51)	39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
68% (104/152)	59% (39/66)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.18
Throw-ins
20	29
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
72% (13/18)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
49	42
Clearances
13	23
Interceptions
8	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.36	0.22
Goals prevented
-0.64	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
60', Mahovo L. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
60', Wright J. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
66', Ngakia J. 🟨,
66', Ngakia J. ↓, Abankwah J. ↑,
66', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
71', Springett T. ↓, Gibbs L. ↑,
79', Maamma O. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
83', Schwartau O. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
83', Sargent J. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
86', Ince T. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Semedo V. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Norwich City
36.2%

Draw
28.3%

Watford
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.3%

39%

Norwich City - Watford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.78)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	2.67 ↑ (2.43)	5.3% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Norwich City - Watford?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 24.7% – 57.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Norwich (votes: 2 - 40%). Watford (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 4.
Norwich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Watford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia M. (International duty) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Kayembe E. (International duty) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Sargent J. (Head Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Watford?

Norwich City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Norwich City?

Watford has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Watford were as follows:

06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2

12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2

01.02.2025 Watford - Norwich City 0:1

21.09.2024 Norwich City - Watford 4:1

13.02.2024 Norwich City - Watford 4:2

Latest results of Norwich City

26.12.2025 Norwich City - Charlton Athletic 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Preston North End - Norwich City 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Sheffield United - Norwich City 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Watford

26.12.2025 Leicester City - Watford 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Watford - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Wrexham - Watford 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Watford - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Watford - Norwich City 3:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54:25	29	51
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33:25	8	43
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40:23	17	41
4	Hull	24	12	5	7	40:37	3	41
5	Millwall	24	11	6	7	27:32	-5	39
6	Watford	24	10	8	6	34:29	5	38
7	Preston	24	9	10	5	31:25	6	37
8	Bristol City	24	10	6	8	33:27	6	36
9	QPR	24	10	5	9	34:37	-3	35
10	Stoke	24	10	4	10	29:23	6	34
11	Wrexham	24	8	10	6	34:31	3	34
12	Leicester	24	9	7	8	34:34	0	34
13	Southampton	24	8	8	8	38:34	4	32
14	Derby	24	8	8	8	33:33	0	32
15	Birmingham	24	8	7	9	32:31	1	31
16	West Brom	24	9	4	11	28:32	-4	31
17	Sheffield Utd	24	9	2	13	33:37	-4	29
18	Swansea	24	8	5	11	25:31	-6	29
19	Blackburn	23	7	6	10	22:26	-4	27
20	Charlton	23	7	6	10	22:29	-7	27
21	Portsmouth	23	6	7	10	21:30	-9	25
22	Oxford Utd	24	5	7	12	24:33	-9	22
23	Norwich	24	5	6	13	26:36	-10	21
24	Sheffield Wed	23	1	8	14	18:45	-27	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One