Portsmouth vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.94
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
84% (383/458)74% (202/273)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.062.39
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
159
Passes
84% (383/458)74% (202/273)
Long passes
43% (25/58)26% (14/54)
Passes in final third
77% (139/181)61% (42/69)
Crosses
28% (8/29)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.48
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
915
Tackles
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5948
Clearances
2740
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.391.06
Goals prevented
0.39-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Alleyne M. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ,
  • 13', Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨,
  • 35', Irankunda N. , Vata R. ,
  • 43', Petris J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kyprianou H. , Mendy N. ,
  • 46', Wiley C. , Ngakia J. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Louza I. , Vata R. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Vata R. ,
  • 63', Yang Min-Hyuk , Blair H. ,
  • 63', Chaplin C. , Segecic A. ,
  • 70', Abankwah J. , Mendy F. ,
  • 72', Williams J. , Devlin T. ,
  • 77', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 78', Selvik E. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Segecic A. ,
  • 85', Sissoko M. , Baah K. ,
  • 89', Pollock M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Pack M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
28.7%
Draw
33.3%
Watford
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 27.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.5% 25.7%

Portsmouth - Watford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.36
(2.05)
3.45
(3.5)
2.98
(3.6)
-14.6%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Watford (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 18)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Selvik E. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Semedo V. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Watford were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 1:0
    26.12.2024 Watford - Portsmouth 2:1
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Watford
    27.09.2025 Watford - Hull City 2:1
    22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One