Portsmouth vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Portsmouth - Watford
Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.94
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
84% (383/458)74% (202/273)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.062.39
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
159
Passes
84% (383/458)74% (202/273)
Long passes
43% (25/58)26% (14/54)
Passes in final third
77% (139/181)61% (42/69)
Crosses
28% (8/29)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.48
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
915
Tackles
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5948
Clearances
2740
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.391.06
Goals prevented
0.39-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Alleyne M. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ,
  • 13', Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨,
  • 35', Irankunda N. , Vata R. ,
  • 43', Petris J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kyprianou H. , Mendy N. ,
  • 46', Wiley C. , Ngakia J. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Louza I. , Vata R. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Vata R. ,
  • 63', Yang Min-Hyuk , Blair H. ,
  • 63', Chaplin C. , Segecic A. ,
  • 70', Abankwah J. , Mendy F. ,
  • 72', Williams J. , Devlin T. ,
  • 77', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 78', Selvik E. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Segecic A. ,
  • 85', Sissoko M. , Baah K. ,
  • 89', Pollock M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Pack M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
28.7%
Draw
33.3%
Watford
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 27.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.5% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portsmouth's form might have worsened.
  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Watford's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Watford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portsmouth - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.36
    (2.05)
    3.45
    (3.5)
    2.98
    (3.6)
    -14.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Watford (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 18)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Selvik E. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Semedo V. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Watford were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 1:0
    26.12.2024 Watford - Portsmouth 2:1
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Watford
    27.09.2025 Watford - Hull City 2:1
    22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One