Result
1:1
21/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/449) | 77% (276/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/449) | 77% (276/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (38/73) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 61% (45/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 46', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 46', Pollock M. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
- 51', Dozzell A. 🟨,
- 64', Maamma O. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽, Chaplin C. (A),
- 79', 1 - 1, Doumbia M. ⚽, Kjerrumgaard L. (A),
- 81', Ince T. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 81', Abankwah J. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
- 83', Devlin T. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
- 90+3', Adams E. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
- 90+3', Segecic A. ↓, Le Roux L. ↑,
- 90+6', Alli M. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
- 90+10', Irankunda N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
55% | Draw
25.8% | Portsmouth
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Watford - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.64) |
3.64 ↓
(3.83) |
4.88 ↓
(5.29) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Watford - Portsmouth?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Watford will win
(31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Watford will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Watford is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Watford: Grieves J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Lang C.
(Inactive)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Murphy J.
(Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Kayembe E.
(Rest)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Blair H.
(Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Portsmouth?
Watford has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Watford?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Portsmouth were as follows:
01.10.2025
Portsmouth
-
Watford
2:2
21.04.2025
Portsmouth
-
Watford
1:0
26.12.2024
Watford
-
Portsmouth
2:1
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
