Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/325) | 79% (292/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.00 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/325) | 79% (292/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 28% (19/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (65/109) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 4.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 3.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Bishop C. ⚽,
- 27', Bishop C. 🟨,
- 44', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aouchiche A. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 52', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 53', Dwomoh P. 🟨,
- 57', Keben K. 🟥,
- 59', Vata R. ↓, Pollock M. ↑,
- 64', Potts F. 🟨,
- 65', Sierralta F. ↓, Abankwah J. ↑,
- 65', Andrews R. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
- 67', Louza I. 🟨,
- 76', Bishop C. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
- 83', Dwomoh P. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
- 87', Poole R. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
- 87', Murphy J. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
- 90+5', Lang C. 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
51.1% | Draw
26.6% | Watford
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portsmouth - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.44) |
3.59 ↑
(3.38) |
4.25 ↑
(2.84) |
4.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Watford?
Users Predictions:
Portsmouth will win
(82 of 90 users predict this - 91.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.23% – 96.99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portsmouth will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 18 and 12).
- Recent matches Portsmouth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Watford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Portsmouth will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I.
(Tendon Injury)
Farrell J.
(Leg Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Milosevic A.
(Calf Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Thigh Injury)
Chakvetadze G.
(Injury)
Kayembe E.
(Red Card)
Larouci Y.
(Groin Injury)
Nabizada A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ogbonna A.
(Illness)
Sissoko M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Bishop C.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Watford?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Portsmouth?
Watford has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Watford were as follows:
26.12.2024
Watford
-
Portsmouth
2:1
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
