Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (383/458) | 74% (202/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (383/458) | 74% (202/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 26% (14/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (139/181) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Alleyne M. 🟨,
- 5', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽,
- 13', Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨,
- 35', Irankunda N. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 43', Petris J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kyprianou H. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 46', Wiley C. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Louza I. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Vata R. ⚽,
- 63', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 63', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 70', Abankwah J. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 72', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 77', Louza I. 🟨,
- 78', Selvik E. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Segecic A. ⚽,
- 85', Sissoko M. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 89', Pollock M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Pack M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
28.7% | Draw
33.3% | Watford
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portsmouth's form might have worsened.Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Watford's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Watford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portsmouth - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(2.05) |
3.45 ↓
(3.5) |
2.98 ↓
(3.6) |
-14.6%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Watford?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Watford (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 18)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schmid N.
(Wrist Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Umeh F.
(Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Selvik E.
(Concussion)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Semedo V.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Watford?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Portsmouth?
Watford has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Watford were as follows:
21.04.2025
Portsmouth
-
Watford
1:0
26.12.2024
Watford
-
Portsmouth
2:1
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
