Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 2
- Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (331/402) | 85% (392/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (331/402) | 85% (392/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (63/90) | 70% (92/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
- 40', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Morgan K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smyth P. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
- 56', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 61', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
- 61', Madsen N. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
- 65', Kayembe E. 🟨,
- 70', Burrell R. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
- 74', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 74', Bola M. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 79', Dembele K. 🟨,
- 81', Dembele K. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
- 86', Kayembe E. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
- 90+3', Louza I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Watford
47.7% | Draw
27.6% | Queens Park Rangers
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Watford aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Watford - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(2) |
3.43 ↑
(3.37) |
3.85 ↑
(3.81) |
5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). QPR will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
- Recent performances by Watford have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- QPR has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Pollock M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Clarke-Salter J.
(Hip Injury)
Dunne J.
(Hip Injury)
Frey M.
(Calf Injury)
Richards T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Dembele K.
(Injury)
Poku K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Watford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Queens Park Rangers?
Watford has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Watford?
Queens Park Rangers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
01.01.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
3:1
30.11.2024
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
0:0
14.01.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
1:2
05.08.2023
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
4:0
11.03.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
1:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
