Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 2
- Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.84 | 0.45 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
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82% (331/402) | 85% (392/460) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.84 | 0.45 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.16 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
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17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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21 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 9 |
Passes |
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82% (331/402) | 85% (392/460) |
Long passes |
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33% (21/63) | 56% (30/54) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (63/90) | 70% (92/132) |
Crosses |
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31% (5/16) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.21 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 11 |
Fouls |
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9 | 9 |
Tackles |
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55% (6/11) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
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46 | 51 |
Clearances |
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26 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.00 | 2.16 |
Goals prevented |
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0.00 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
- 40', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Morgan K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smyth P. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
- 56', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 61', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
- 61', Madsen N. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
- 65', Kayembe E. 🟨,
- 70', Burrell R. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
- 74', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 74', Bola M. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 79', Dembele K. 🟨,
- 81', Dembele K. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
- 86', Kayembe E. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
- 90+3', Louza I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Watford 47.7% | Draw 27.6% | Queens Park Rangers 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Watford aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Watford - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↑ (2) |
3.43 ↑ (3.37) |
3.85 ↑ (3.81) |
5% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). QPR will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
- Recent performances by Watford have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- QPR has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Pollock M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Clarke-Salter J.
(Hip Injury)
Dunne J.
(Hip Injury)
Frey M.
(Calf Injury)
Richards T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Dembele K.
(Injury)
Poku K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Watford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Queens Park Rangers?
Watford has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Watford?
Queens Park Rangers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
01.01.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
3:1
30.11.2024
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
0:0
14.01.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
1:2
05.08.2023
Watford
-
Queens Park Rangers
4:0
11.03.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Watford
1:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One