Watford vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Watford - Queens Park Rangers
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.45
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
82% (331/402)85% (392/460)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.00
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
99
Passes
82% (331/402)85% (392/460)
Long passes
33% (21/63)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
70% (63/90)70% (92/132)
Crosses
31% (5/16)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.66
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
99
Tackles
55% (6/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
2623
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.002.16
Goals prevented
0.000.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. , Irankunda N. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. , Louza I. (A),
  • 40', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Morgan K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Smyth P. , Kolli R. ,
  • 56', Irankunda N. , Baah K. ,
  • 61', Mbengue A. S. , Esquerdinha ,
  • 61', Madsen N. , Varane J. ,
  • 65', Kayembe E. 🟨,
  • 70', Burrell R. , Kone R. ,
  • 74', Kjerrumgaard L. , Doumbia M. ,
  • 74', Bola M. , Andrews R. ,
  • 79', Dembele K. 🟨,
  • 81', Dembele K. , Celar Z. ,
  • 86', Kayembe E. , Dele-Bashiru T. ,
  • 90+3', Louza I. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Watford
47.7%
Draw
27.6%
Queens Park Rangers
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 28% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.7% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Watford aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Watford - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2)
    3.43
    (3.37)
    3.85
    (3.81)
    5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Watford - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). QPR will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
    • Recent performances by Watford have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • QPR has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Pollock M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Dunne J. (Hip Injury) Frey M. (Calf Injury) Richards T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in QPR: Dembele K. (Injury) Poku K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Watford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Watford 3:1
    30.11.2024 Watford - Queens Park Rangers 0:0
    14.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Watford 1:2
    05.08.2023 Watford - Queens Park Rangers 4:0
    11.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Watford 1:0
    Latest results of Watford
    12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2
    26.07.2025 Watford - Leyton Orient 1:1
    12.07.2025 Watford - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

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