Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Hillsborough (Sheffield).

Championship - Round 37
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.54	1.96
Ball possession
34%	66%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
3	4
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
69% (201/292)	86% (492/575)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.54	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	1.47
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
4	9
Shots inside the box
10	12
Shots outside the box
1	7
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	4
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
7	16
Passes
69% (201/292)	86% (492/575)
Long passes
31% (19/62)	51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)	76% (125/165)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	1.15
Throw ins
17	21
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
50% (9/18)	40% (2/5)
Duels won
44	56
Clearances
17	18
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.47	1.29
Goals prevented
0.47	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Petris J. ↓, Bola M. ↑,
31', Goglichidze S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Yates J. ⚽, Fusire S. (A),
63', Heskey J. 🟨,
65', Mendy N. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,
65', Kayembe E. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
68', Abankwah J. 🟨,
69', Adaramola T. 🟨,
74', Yates J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
75', McGhee C. ↓, Iorfa D. ↑,
76', Ekwah P. 🟨,
81', Ingelsson S. 🟨,
84', Irankunda N. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
84', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Semedo V. ⚽, Louza I. (A),

Chances of winning

Sheffield Wednesday
11.5%

Draw
20.8%

Watford
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.4%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

19.5%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Sheffield Wednesday - Watford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.37 ↑ (7.47)	4.58 ↓ (4.62)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	5.7% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sheffield Wednesday - Watford?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Watford will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.25 - Watford (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Watford (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Watford (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Watford (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Watford will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 10 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).
Sheff Wed is Relegated to League One
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 0.
Sheff Wed has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Watford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Watford is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Watford will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Wed won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.7:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Sheffield Wednesday won against Watford?

Sheffield Wednesday has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Sheffield Wednesday?

Watford has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sheffield Wednesday - Watford were as follows:

09.12.2025 Watford - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1

03.05.2025 Watford - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1

02.11.2024 Sheffield Wednesday - Watford 2:6

31.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday - Watford 0:0

21.10.2023 Watford - Sheffield Wednesday 1:0

Latest results of Sheffield Wednesday

07.03.2026 Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton 1:3 ✺

25.02.2026 Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Sheffield United - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Millwall 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Watford

27.02.2026 Bristol City - Watford 1:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Watford - Ipswich Town 0:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Watford - Derby County 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Preston North End - Watford 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Southampton - Watford 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84:42	42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71:40	31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	9	73
4	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	20	72
5	Southampton	41	19	12	10	70:50	20	69
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	-1	56
16	Stoke	42	15	10	17	49:46	3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	-12	49
19	Blackburn	42	12	12	18	38:50	-12	48
20	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	-14	46
21	Portsmouth	41	11	12	18	41:57	-16	45
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One