Mount Gambier Pioneers vs Waverley Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:110
25/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaNbl+

Chances of winning


Mount Gambier Pioneers
66.2%
Waverley Falcons
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Waverley Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mount Gambier Pioneers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waverley Falcons than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waverley Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.4)

    2.73
    (2.56)
    8.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Mount Gambier has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Mount Gambier is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 412:384. (average 82.4:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 176:150. (average 88:75).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons 105:73
    07.04.2024 Waverley Falcons - Mount Gambier Pioneers 63:67
    15.07.2023 Waverley Falcons - Mount Gambier Pioneers 78:83
    12.05.2023 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons 71:77
    Latest results of Waverley Falcons
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Knox761687:6270.857
    2Melbourne Tigers651549:4800.833
    3Nunawading752695:6090.714
    4Eltham752615:5470.714
    5Frankston752674:6310.714
    6Dandenong642581:5260.667
    7Hobart Chargers642542:5410.667
    8Bendigo Braves532442:4490.600
    9Keilor Thunder633560:5260.500
    10Waverley633538:5160.500
    11Kilsyth633539:5360.500
    12Casey Cavaliers633579:5790.500
    13Sandringham Sabres624498:5090.333
    14Diamond Valley624538:5670.333
    15Mt Gambier624528:5850.333
    16Geelong514392:4460.200
    17Northern Tasmania615519:5970.167
    18Ringwood716605:6730.143
    19Ballarat716580:7170.143

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