Fasil Kenema vs Welayta Dicha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
31
Red Cards
10
Total shots
35
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Zelalem K. 🟥,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Awoke D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Solomon M. ,

Chances of winning


Fasil Kenema
37.6%
Draw
33.1%
Welayta Dicha
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 33.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 32.2% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.57)
    2.76
    (2.77)
    3.13
    (2.97)
    9.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 1.
    • Fasil Kenema is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Welayta Dicha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:3
    26.11.2024 Welayta Dicha - Fasil Kenema 1:1
    07.12.2023 Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha 0:2
    02.04.2023 Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha 2:1
    04.12.2022 Welayta Dicha - Fasil Kenema 1:0
    Latest results of Fasil Kenema
    Latest results of Welayta Dicha
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna26139432:171548
    2Negele Arsi Ketema26119625:18742
    3Hawassa26118730:21941
    4Mechal261010633:211240
    5Fasil Kenema26912518:15339
    6Ethio Electric26911620:15538
    7Ethiopia Bunna25106925:25036
    8Bahir Dar Kenema26714519:18135
    9Ethiopia Nigd Bank26810835:32334
    10Adama City26712724:27-333
    11Hadiya Hossana26881022:27-532
    12Dire Dawa26711818:25-732
    13Welayta Dicha26613727:26131
    14Sheger Ketema26613723:24-131
    15St. George25871020:22-231
    16Ethiopian Insurance26611920:20029
    17Welwalo Adigrat26611919:26-729
    18Shire Endaselassie266101017:21-428
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta264111115:29-1423
    20Arba Menche264101218:31-1322

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation