Auckland Aces vs Wellington Firebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
240:243
09/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • The Ford Trophy

Official Live

Chances of winning


Auckland Aces
45.2%
Wellington Firebirds
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 50.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auckland Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Wellington Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland Aces than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.91)

    1.69
    (1.8)
    7.6%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland Aces won 4.
    • Auckland Aces is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Auckland Aces has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auckland Aces won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4461:4010. (average 223.1:200.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auckland Aces won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2763:2347. (average 251.2:213.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds Abandoned
    28.12.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces 187:189
    04.12.2025 Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds 350:86
    11.11.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces 232:286
    17.02.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces 198:194
    Latest results of Auckland Aces
    06.02.2026 Central Stags - Auckland Aces 164:163
    03.02.2026 Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings 124:384
    29.01.2026 Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings 106:108
    25.01.2026 Auckland Aces - Central Stags 219:210
    21.01.2026 Auckland Aces - Northern Brave 110:217
    Latest results of Wellington Firebirds
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Bye
    2Central Stags (2)Wellington Firebirds (3)349 : 138

    Final
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Central Stags (2)302 : 303