Canterbury Kings vs Wellington Firebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
69:68
12/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • The Ford Trophy

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Canterbury Kings
66.7%
Wellington Firebirds
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canterbury Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canterbury Kings's performance.
  • Wellington Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Firebirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury Kings than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canterbury Kings that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Firebirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.67)

    3.38
    (2.16)
    -3%
    (6.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 1.
    • Recent performances by Canterbury have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wellington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Canterbury has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Canterbury will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 4081:4227. (average 204.1:211.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2472:2344. (average 224.7:213.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds were as follows:
    22.01.2026 Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds 136:178
    18.01.2026 Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings 193:105
    29.10.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings 259:258
    28.03.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings 269:70
    12.03.2025 Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds 2:350
    Latest results of Canterbury Kings
    Latest results of Wellington Firebirds
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Bye
    2Central Stags (2)Wellington Firebirds (3)349 : 138

    Final
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Central Stags (2)302 : 303