Wellington Firebirds vs Northern Brave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
281:163
17/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • The Ford Trophy

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Wellington Firebirds
54.9%
Northern Brave
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Northern Brave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Brave than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.73)

    2.06
    (2.07)
    7.2%
    (6.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.
    • In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northern Brave is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Wellington will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 4493:4505. (average 224.7:225.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1761:1609. (average 195.7:178.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave 185:189
    30.12.2025 Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds 181:194
    12.12.2025 Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds 46:319
    02.11.2025 Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds 233:234
    20.03.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave 189:124
    Latest results of Wellington Firebirds
    Latest results of Northern Brave
    12.02.2026 Northern Brave - Auckland Aces Abandoned
    09.02.2026 Northern Brave - Central Stags 309:240
    03.02.2026 Otago Volts - Northern Brave 148:149
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Bye
    2Central Stags (2)Wellington Firebirds (3)349 : 138

    Final
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Central Stags (2)302 : 303