Wellington vs Bay of Plenty – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Wellington - Bay of Plenty
Result
26:33
03/10/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 7)
  • 2nd Half (5 - 26)

Chances of winning


Wellington
31.1%
Draw
3.3%
Bay of Plenty
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 4.2% 68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 4% 71.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Bay of Plenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bay of Plenty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wellington - Bay of Plenty Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (3.4)
    29.5
    (22)
    1.4
    (1.33)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Wellington - Bay of Plenty?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Bay of Plenty will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:31.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4.
    • Wellington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bay of Plenty is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Bay of Plenty is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 410:272. (average 31.5:20.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 238:161. (average 34:23).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington - Bay of Plenty were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Wellington - Bay of Plenty 23:20
    20.09.2024 Wellington - Bay of Plenty 30:25
    16.09.2023 Bay of Plenty - Wellington 14:26
    Latest results of Wellington
    26.09.2025 Taranaki - Wellington 39:20
    19.09.2025 Wellington - Southland 75:19
    11.09.2025 Northland - Wellington 43:26
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    Latest results of Bay of Plenty
    27.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Waikato 41:5
    21.09.2025 Manawatu - Bay of Plenty 19:55
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)