Result
28:32
11/09/2024 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 13)
- 6', Harkin C. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Casey L. (Try),
- 19', Faleafaga A. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Ropeti D. (Try),
- 22', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Bell H. (Try),
- 36', Faleafaga A. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Harkin C. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 19)
- 44', Muriwai N. (Try),
- 45', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Ieremia A. (Try),
- 54', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Umaga T. (Try),
- 60', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Creighton H. (Try),
- 74', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Sheck P. (Try),
Chances of winning
Otago
40.8% | Draw
3.2% | Wellington
56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otago's performance.Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otago that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+16.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Otago - Wellington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(3.61) |
28.8 ↓
(31) |
1.65 ↑
(1.32) |
8.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 53.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Otago won 1.
- Recent matches Otago is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Wellington in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Wellington will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Otago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 247-349.
- Including matches at home between the teams Otago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 71-98.
How many head-to-head matches has Otago won against Wellington?
Otago has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington won against Otago?
Wellington has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Otago - Wellington were as follows:
12.08.2023
Otago
-
Wellington
5:28
10.09.2022
Wellington
-
Otago
32:26
Latest results of Wellington
New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Taranaki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:3 | 4 |
| 2 | Canterbury | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33:15 | 4 |
| 3 | Manawatu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38:25 | 4 |
| 4 | Otago | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:15 | 4 |
| 5 | Waikato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36:35 | 4 |
| 6 | Auckland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35:36 | 1 |
| 7 | Bay of Plenty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Counties Manukau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hawke's Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tasman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Southland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0 |
| 12 | North Harbour | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:38 | 0 |
| 13 | Wellington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0 |
| 14 | Northland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:23 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bunnings NPC (Play Offs: )
