Taranaki vs Wellington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Taranaki - Wellington
Result
39:20
26/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Taranaki
68.7%
Draw
3.9%
Wellington
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 4.4% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 4.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Taranaki - Wellington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.42)
    27
    (21)
    3.35
    (2.95)
    8.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Taranaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Taranaki is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Taranaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 245:293. (average 24.5:29.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 66:108. (average 16.5:27).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taranaki - Wellington were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Wellington - Taranaki 26:19
    27.08.2022 Wellington - Taranaki 31:25
    Latest results of Taranaki
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    29.08.2025 Counties Manukau - Taranaki 22:43
    22.08.2025 Taranaki - Waikato 22:23
    Latest results of Wellington
    19.09.2025 Wellington - Southland 75:19
    11.09.2025 Northland - Wellington 43:26
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    24.08.2025 Manawatu - Wellington 38:28
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)