Mechal vs Welwalo Adigrat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
23/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ethiopia Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
131
Shots on target
40
Corner kicks
61
Red cards
01
Total shots
131
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
91
Corner kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 88', Solomon F. 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Jemal F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Tibebu E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Biruk M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Tesfaye G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kudjoe C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Hailemariam E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Mamo D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Wondimu K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Hagos G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Mutakubwa J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Alionzi N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Hailemariam G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Manaf I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Mesfin M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Tesfaye Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Beyene B. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Mechal
54.3%
Draw
28.4%
Welwalo Adigrat
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 28.6% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 28.1% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Mechal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.66)
    3.2
    (3.15)
    5.23
    (5.27)
    10.2%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Mechal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Welwalo Adigrat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Mechal is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat 0:0
    04.11.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal 0:2
    07.03.2025 Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat 0:0
    25.10.2024 Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal 0:3
    Latest results of Mechal
    19.04.2026 Mechal - Hawassa City 0:0
    15.04.2026 Dire Dawa City - Mechal 1:2
    10.04.2026 Sidama Coffee - Mechal 1:3
    13.03.2026 Fasil Kenema - Mechal 0:0
    Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1Boditi KetemaMekelle 70 Enderta2 : 3
    2MechalWelwalo Adigrat0 : 1
    3Bench Maji BunnaEthiopian Insurance0 : 2
    4Negele Arsi KetemaSidama Bunna1 : 2