Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou Professional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 19

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.41
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
72% (247/344)80% (334/418)
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.11
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2117
Passes
72% (247/344)80% (334/418)
Long passes
37% (26/71)59% (44/75)
Passes in final third
62% (73/118)62% (69/112)
Crosses
29% (6/21)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.54
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
1721
Tackles
64% (14/22)55% (11/20)
Duels won
6657
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.111.13
Goals prevented
-0.890.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Liu Ziheng , Gu Zhiwei (A),
  • 21', Han Tianlin 🟨,
  • 22', Gu Zhiwei 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Ruan Sai , Muhta M. (A),
  • 45+4', Lu Jiabin 🟨,
  • 45+4', Liu Jing 🟨,
  • 45+7', Tian Jiarui 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Han Tianlin , Wang G. ,
  • 46', Kurban I. , Wang Qihong ,
  • 57', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
  • 62', Gu Zhiwei , Xin Hongjun ,
  • 62', Liu Ziheng , Wen Y. ,
  • 62', Huang Guangliang , Tang Wenxuan ,
  • 64', Tian Jiarui , Liu Fanyi ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Muhta M. (Pen),
  • 78', Zhu X. , Tang Tianyi ,
  • 80', Ruan Sai , Lu Shihao ,
  • 83', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,
  • 84', Zheng Zhiming , Peng Jiahao ,
  • 86', He J. , Li Ming ,
  • 89', Lu Y. , Tash M. ,
  • 90+10', Wang Qihong 🟨,
  • 90+11', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
  • 90+13', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
  • 90+17', Lu Jiabin , Sun Weikai ,

Chances of winning


Guangdong Mingtu
31.7%
Draw
29.9%
Wenzhou Professional
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 31.1% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.7% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (3.25)
    3.06
    (2.92)
    2.38
    (2.21)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wenzhou's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Wenzhou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong Mingtu 1:1
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B11006:153
    2Taian Tiankuang11003:123
    3Lanzhou Longyuan11001:013
    4Qingdao Red Lions10101:101
    5Changchun Xidu10101:101
    6Nantong Haimen10100:001
    7Shanxi Chongde Ronghai10100:001
    8Dalian Yingbo B10100:001
    9Dalian Kewei10100:001
    10Beijing Technology10010:1-10
    11Shandong Taishan B10011:3-20
    12Shanghai Second10011:6-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xiamen Feilu11002:023
    2Hubei Istar11001:013
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B11001:013
    4Jiangxi Lushan10102:201
    5Hangzhou Linping10102:201
    6Shenzhen10101:101
    7Wuhan Three Towns B10101:101
    8Ganzhou Ruishi10100:001
    9Guangdong Mingtu10100:001
    10Wenzhou Professional10010:1-10
    11Guangzhou Dandelion10010:1-10
    12Guizhou Guiyang10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )