Freiburg vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 14
  • Referee: Soeder A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.84
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
74% (289/391)77% (313/408)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.810.20
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
715
Passes
74% (289/391)77% (313/408)
Long passes
35% (19/55)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
58% (61/106)63% (76/121)
Crosses
41% (7/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.520.56
Throw-ins
3526
Fouls
157
Tackles
65% (13/20)76% (16/21)
Duels won
3448
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
0.202.81
Goals prevented
0.20-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Egli L. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Egli L. , Birkholz L. E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Blumenberg T. 🟨,
  • 64', Blumenberg T. , Csillag A. ,
  • 64', Wieder V. , Arfaoui A. ,
  • 64', Desic M. , Petermann L. ,
  • 69', Schneider M. 🟨,
  • 74', Weiss M. , Matheis S. ,
  • 78', Stegemann G. , Stierli J. ,
  • 78', Schneider M. , Bienz A. ,
  • 78', Birkholz L. E. , Folmli S. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Folmli S. , Egli L. (A),
  • 84', Egli L. , Scherer N. ,
  • 84', Hausicke L. , Dieckmann R. ,
  • 85', Sternad M. , Papai E. ,
  • 90+2', Maas M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
34.5%
Draw
26.3%
Werder Bremen
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 25.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.28)
    3.45
    (3.59)
    2.31
    (2.58)
    10.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • Freiburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 1:1
    11.05.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 3:2
    08.12.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    17.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    08.10.2023 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    13.12.2025 Freiburg - SGS Essen 0:0
    05.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    22.11.2025 Freiburg - Carl Zeiss Jena 3:0
    15.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W18171071:66552
    2Wolfsburg W17122353:262738
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W18103544:311333
    4Hoffenheim W18102633:231032
    5Bayer Leverkusen W19101829:28131
    6Werder Bremen W1785424:22229
    7Freiburg W1983832:31127
    8Koln W1974823:24-125
    9Union Berlin W1964928:36-822
    10RB Leipzig W19631030:38-821
    111.FC Nurnberg W19541026:47-2119
    12Hamburger SV W19351121:45-2414
    13SGS Essen W19261116:41-2512
    14Jena W18231316:48-329

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women