Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 22
- Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/412) | 67% (201/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/412) | 67% (201/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 55% (57/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Muhlhaus L. ⚽, Sternad M. (A),
- 12', Kayikci H. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
- 14', 1 - 1, Steuerwald S. ⚽, Vobian S. (A),
- 35', Stierli J. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Folmli S. ⚽, Zicai C. (A),
- 44', Dieckmann R. 🟨,
- 45+5', Nemeth H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sternad M. ↓, Wieder V. ↑,
- 64', Steuerwald S. ↓, Axtmann A. ↑,
- 64', Borggrafe R. ↓, Nuding L. ↑,
- 64', Schasching A. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
- 67', Karich A. 🟨,
- 68', Nemeth H. ↓, Papai E. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Muhlhaus L. (Pen),
- 75', Weidauer S. ↓, Walkling R. ↑,
- 75', Beck S. ↓, Wirtz J. ↑,
- 78', Zicai C. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
- 79', Arfaoui A. ↓, Wichmann R. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Campbell E. ⚽, Folmli S. (A),
- 89', Muhlhaus L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
48% | Draw
25.6% | Werder Bremen
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.68) |
3.6 ↓
(4.01) |
3.51 ↓
(3.95) |
8.2%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Freiburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Werder Bremen?
Freiburg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Freiburg?
Werder Bremen has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
08.12.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:3
17.02.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:3
08.10.2023
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
2:1
07.05.2023
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
1:1
26.11.2022
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
1:2
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 59 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 57:18 | 39 | 51 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 68:22 | 46 | 50 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38:21 | 17 | 43 |
| 5 | Freiburg W | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 49:30 | 19 | 36 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen W | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30:40 | -10 | 27 |
| 9 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 21:30 | -9 | 20 |
| 10 | Koln W | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18:51 | -33 | 14 |
| 11 | Jena W | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 7:43 | -36 | 10 |
| 12 | Potsdam W | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 5:73 | -68 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
