Result
3:0
21/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 14
- Referee: Soeder A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (289/391) | 77% (313/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (289/391) | 77% (313/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (61/106) | 63% (76/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Egli L. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Egli L. ⚽, Birkholz L. E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Blumenberg T. 🟨,
- 64', Blumenberg T. ↓, Csillag A. ↑,
- 64', Wieder V. ↓, Arfaoui A. ↑,
- 64', Desic M. ↓, Petermann L. ↑,
- 69', Schneider M. 🟨,
- 74', Weiss M. ↓, Matheis S. ↑,
- 78', Stegemann G. ↓, Stierli J. ↑,
- 78', Schneider M. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
- 78', Birkholz L. E. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 0, Folmli S. ⚽, Egli L. (A),
- 84', Egli L. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
- 84', Hausicke L. ↓, Dieckmann R. ↑,
- 85', Sternad M. ↓, Papai E. ↑,
- 90+2', Maas M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
34.5% | Draw
26.3% | Werder Bremen
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.28) |
3.45 ↓
(3.59) |
2.31 ↓
(2.58) |
10.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
- Freiburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Werder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Werder Bremen?
Freiburg has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Freiburg?
Werder Bremen has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
07.09.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
1:1
11.05.2025
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
3:2
08.12.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:3
17.02.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:3
08.10.2023
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W ✔ | 23 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 86:8 | 78 | 67 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 65:35 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 57:38 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 45:29 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Koln W | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 40:45 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:54 | -29 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21:55 | -34 | 15 |
| 14 | Jena W | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 21:57 | -36 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
