Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holstein-Stadion (Kiel).

Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+, SINDOnews TV
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.74
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
0	7
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
83% (389/468)	75% (278/370)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	2.47
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
0	7
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
15	23
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
83% (389/468)	75% (278/370)
Long passes
43% (22/51)	53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
58% (49/84)	62% (62/100)
Crosses
6% (1/17)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	1.27
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
50% (5/10)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
23	56
Clearances Total
23	23
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
2.47	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
24', Remberg N. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Ducksch M. ⚽,
26', Ivezic M. 🟨,
35', Ivezic M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
35', Rosenboom L. ↓, Becker T. ↑,
35', Harres P. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Agu F. ⚽,
61', Remberg N. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
73', Burke O. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
73', Ducksch M. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
77', Porath F. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
82', Stage J. 🟨,
85', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
89', Pieper A. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
89', Schmid R. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Grull M. ⚽, Weiser M. (A),

Chances of winning

Holstein Kiel
30.8%

Draw
25.5%

Werder Bremen
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.9%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	3.77 ↑ (3.71)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)	4.1% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Werder will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 40.7% – 75.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).
Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Werder is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Holstein Kiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Werder will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Werder Bremen?

Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Holstein Kiel?

Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen were as follows:

09.11.2024 Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel 2:1

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

20.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Werder Bremen

15.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺

25.02.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	32	26	5	1	116:35	81	83
2	Dortmund	32	20	7	5	65:32	33	67
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	5	8	63:42	21	62
4	Bayer Leverkusen	32	17	7	8	66:43	23	58
5	Stuttgart	32	17	7	8	66:46	20	58
6	Hoffenheim	32	17	7	8	64:48	16	58
7	Freiburg	32	12	8	12	45:53	-8	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	32	11	10	11	57:60	-3	43
9	Augsburg	32	11	7	14	42:56	-14	40
10	Mainz	32	9	10	13	41:50	-9	37
11	B. Monchengladbach	32	8	11	13	37:50	-13	35
12	Hamburger SV	32	8	10	14	36:51	-15	34
13	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37:57	-20	33
14	FC Koln	32	7	11	14	47:55	-8	32
15	Werder Bremen	32	8	8	16	37:57	-20	32
16	Wolfsburg	32	6	8	18	42:67	-25	26
17	St. Pauli	32	6	8	18	27:55	-28	26
18	Heidenheim	32	5	8	19	38:69	-31	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )