Mainz vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
01/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.94
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
77% (311/405)80% (376/470)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.540.94
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
77% (311/405)80% (376/470)
Long passes
54% (36/67)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
69% (118/172)72% (81/113)
Crosses
28% (7/25)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.99
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
1911
Tackles
83% (10/12)36% (5/14)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1348
Interceptions
1710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.941.54
Goals prevented
-0.060.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Widmer S. ⚽, Hollerbach B. (A),
  • 45', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mbangula S. ↓, Puertas C. ↑,
  • 59', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
  • 64', Boniface V. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
  • 64', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 69', Hollerbach B. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
  • 77', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
  • 77', Mwene P. ↓, da Costa D. ↑,
  • 81', Coulibaly K. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Stage J. ⚽,
  • 88', Topp K. 🟨,
  • 89', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 89', Nebel P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Schmid R. ↓, Stark N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Mainz
49.3%		Draw
24.7%		Werder Bremen
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 24.3% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 24.3% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
    •

    Mainz - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↓
    (1.97)    		 3.91
    (3.91)    		 3.62 ↑
    (3.47)    		 4.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Werder will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 43.7% – 75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Werder (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Werder (2.02) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Werder (2.06) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Werder (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 20%). Werder (votes: 7 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 0.
    • Mainz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Werder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mainz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Leitsch M. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    15.09.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:2
    03.02.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 0:1
    02.09.2023 Werder Bremen - Mainz 4:0
    08.04.2023 Mainz - Werder Bremen 2:2
    Latest results of Mainz
    29.10.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 0:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0 ✺
    26.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen 4:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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