Werder Bremen vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.891.08
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
32
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
94
Passes
85% (513/604)70% (210/302)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.891.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.31
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
149
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
77
Passes
85% (513/604)70% (210/302)
Long passes
47% (21/45)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
69% (101/146)51% (46/90)
Crosses
24% (8/34)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.37
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
77
Tackles
67% (6/9)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3344
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
1.311.41
Goals prevented
-0.691.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Nebel P. ⚽, Mwene P. (A),
  • 38', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Topp K. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽, Becker S. (A),
  • 55', Malatini J. ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,
  • 62', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
  • 63', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 69', Sugawara Y. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
  • 69', Bittencourt L. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
  • 72', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
  • 72', Tietz P. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 81', Widmer S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 85', Grull M. ↓, Musah S. ↑,
  • 87', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
  • 87', Becker S. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Werder Bremen
44.8%		Draw
26.6%		Mainz
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 26.4% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Werder Bremen - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.11 ↓
    (2.33)    		 3.6
    (3.6)    		 3.42 ↑
    (2.9)    		 4.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 38.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 36.1% – 69.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mainz (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1 - Mainz (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Mainz (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mainz (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Werder could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Thigh Injury) Milosevic J. (Back Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N. (Heel Injury) Bell S. (Injury) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Injury) Hollerbach B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silas (Broken shinbone) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Agu F. (Muscle Injury) Mbangula S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Mainz were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    15.09.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:2
    03.02.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 0:1
    02.09.2023 Werder Bremen - Mainz 4:0
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    08.03.2026 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 1:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich 0:3 ✺
    07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    12.03.2026 Sigma Olomouc - Mainz 0:0 ✺
    07.03.2026 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Mainz - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich26214193:256867
    2Dortmund26177255:262958
    3Hoffenheim26155654:342050
    4Stuttgart26155651:341750
    5RB Leipzig26145748:351347
    6Bayer Leverkusen26136749:331645
    7Eintracht Frankfurt26108849:49038
    8Freiburg26971037:43-634
    9Union Berlin26871131:42-1131
    10Augsburg26941331:45-1431
    11Hamburger SV26791029:37-830
    12B. Monchengladbach26771230:43-1328
    13Mainz26691131:41-1027
    14FC Koln26671335:44-925
    15Werder Bremen26671329:47-1825
    16St. Pauli26661423:42-1924
    17Wolfsburg26561535:56-2121
    18Heidenheim26351824:58-3414

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