Result
1:0
31/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 20
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 5 |
Brazil | SporTV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 255 |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Montenegro | Sportklub 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | Sportklub 5 |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 5 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+ |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.91 | 1.08 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Goal Attempts |
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12 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 14 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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14 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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8 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 24 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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23 | 32 |
Passes |
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69% (223/325) | 81% (435/540) |
Passes in the final third |
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53% (40/76) | 67% (119/177) |
Crosses |
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33% (3/9) | 24% (5/21) |
Tackles |
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63% (15/24) | 73% (11/15) |
Clearances Total |
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36 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Zentner R. 🟨,
- 12', Ducksch M. (Pen),
- 14', 1 - 0, Bittencourt L. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
- 26', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 36', Bittencourt L. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,
- 42', Stark N. 🟨,
- 44', Caci A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Amiri N. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 56', Bell S. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
- 70', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 71', Kabore I. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
- 78', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 79', Schmid R. 🟨,
- 80', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
- 82', Mwene P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 82', Caci A. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 86', Jung A. ↓, Pieper A. ↑,
- 90+1', Zetterer M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lynen S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Stark N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Weiser M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen 40.9% | Draw 28% | Mainz 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Werder Bremen - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↑ (2.27) |
3.43 ↓ (3.53) |
3.09 ↑ (3.03) |
4% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 30 - 54.5%). Mainz will win (votes: 11 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 41.3% – 67.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Werder will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Knee Injury)
Ducksch M.
(Back Injury)
Malatini J.
(Muscle Injury)
Opitz L.
(Knock)
Stage J.
(Yellow Cards)
Topp K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Burkardt J.
(Thigh Injury)
Vidovic G.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Stark N.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Jenz M.
(Hip Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Werder won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:28 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Mainz?
Werder Bremen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Werder Bremen?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Mainz were as follows:
15.09.2024
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
1:2
03.02.2024
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
0:1
02.09.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Mainz
4:0
08.04.2023
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
2:2
15.10.2022
Werder Bremen
-
Mainz
0:2
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga