Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (513/604) | 70% (210/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (513/604) | 70% (210/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (101/146) | 51% (46/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Nebel P. ⚽, Mwene P. (A),
- 38', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Topp K. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽, Becker S. (A),
- 55', Malatini J. ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,
- 62', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
- 63', Stage J. 🟨,
- 69', Sugawara Y. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 69', Bittencourt L. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 72', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 72', Tietz P. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 81', Widmer S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 85', Grull M. ↓, Musah S. ↑,
- 87', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 87', Becker S. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen
44.8% | Draw
26.6% | Mainz
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Werder Bremen - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.33) |
3.6
(3.6) |
3.42 ↑
(2.9) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 38.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 36.1% – 69.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mainz (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Mainz (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Mainz (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mainz (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Werder could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Adeh W.
(Knee Injury)
Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly K.
(Thigh Injury)
Milosevic J.
(Back Injury)
Pieper A.
(Knee Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N.
(Heel Injury)
Bell S.
(Injury)
Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silas
(Broken shinbone)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Agu F.
(Muscle Injury)
Mbangula S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Mainz?
Werder Bremen has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Werder Bremen?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Mainz were as follows:
01.11.2025
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
1:1
31.01.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Mainz
1:0
15.09.2024
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
1:2
03.02.2024
Mainz
-
Werder Bremen
0:1
02.09.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Mainz
4:0
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 113:32 | 81 | 82 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62:38 | 24 | 62 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 63:43 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 61:45 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62:42 | 20 | 55 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 56:58 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 39:55 | -16 | 37 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
