Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Werder Bremen
Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaNova Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.57
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (298/376)83% (464/556)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.092.73
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
89
Passes
79% (298/376)83% (464/556)
Long passes
45% (27/60)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)68% (96/141)
Crosses
28% (5/18)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.92
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
98
Tackles
82% (9/11)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4049
Clearances
3232
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.731.09
Goals prevented
0.73-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Lynen S. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Rothe T. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
  • 45+1', Pieper A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Stark N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Schmid R. 🟨,
  • 62', Vogt K. 🟨,
  • 72', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
  • 72', Haberer J. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 72', Trimmel C. ↓, Preu D. ↑,
  • 74', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
  • 74', Schmid R. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
  • 83', Schafer A. ↓, Volland K. ↑,
  • 84', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 84', Vogt K. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
  • 84', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Benes L. ⚽, Rothe T. (A),
  • 89', Agu F. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
  • 89', Lynen S. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 89', Pieper A. ↓, Topp K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
32.1%		Draw
27.7%		Werder Bremen
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 26.7% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Berlin's form might have worsened.
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3 ↑
    (2.54)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.59)    		 2.41 ↓
    (2.72)    		 3.7%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Werder will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 17.2% – 54.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Werder (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
    • Union Berlin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Calf Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Leite D. (Neck Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Werder: Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 4:1
    16.03.2024 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:1
    28.10.2023 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 2:0
    27.05.2023 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 1:0
    25.01.2023 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    27.04.2025 Bochum - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 4:4 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen 0:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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