Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalySky Sport 255
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.96
Ball possession
25%75%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
25
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
13
Passes
63% (150/238)90% (641/716)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.822.57
Total shots
915
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
49
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
135
Passes
63% (150/238)90% (641/716)
Long passes
40% (31/77)61% (33/54)
Passes in final third
43% (42/97)79% (137/173)
Crosses
17% (2/12)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.06
Throw ins
1415
Fouls
513
Tackles
50% (4/8)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2735
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
2.570.82
Goals prevented
-1.43-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', Stark N. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kohn D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 19', Schafer A. 🟥,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Deman O. ⚽, Stage J. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Puertas C. (A),
  • 36', Topp K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Topp K. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
  • 46', Stark N. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
  • 63', Kemlein A. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 3, Grull M. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
  • 70', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 71', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 79', Malatini J. 🟨,
  • 82', Nsoki S. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
  • 83', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
  • 83', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Schmid R. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sugawara Y. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
  • 90+4', 1 - 4, Covic P. ⚽, Bittencourt L. (A),

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
40.1%		Draw
29.5%		Werder Bremen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 27.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 24.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.38 ↑
    (2.11)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.45)    		 3.14 ↓
    (3.46)    		 4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Werder will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 27% – 65.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Werder (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Agu F. (Muscle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Thigh Injury) Mbangula S. (Hamstring Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Milosevic J. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0
    03.05.2025 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:2
    21.12.2024 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 4:1
    16.03.2024 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:1
    28.10.2023 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 2:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    28.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    28.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich 0:3 ✺
    07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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