Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Nova Sport |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (298/376) | 83% (464/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (298/376) | 83% (464/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 68% (96/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Lynen S. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Rothe T. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
- 45+1', Pieper A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Stark N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Schmid R. 🟨,
- 62', Vogt K. 🟨,
- 72', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
- 72', Haberer J. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
- 72', Trimmel C. ↓, Preu D. ↑,
- 74', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 74', Schmid R. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
- 83', Schafer A. ↓, Volland K. ↑,
- 84', Querfeld L. 🟨,
- 84', Vogt K. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
- 84', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Benes L. ⚽, Rothe T. (A),
- 89', Agu F. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
- 89', Lynen S. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
- 89', Pieper A. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
32.1% | Draw
27.7% | Werder Bremen
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Berlin's form might have worsened.Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.54) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
2.41 ↓
(2.72) |
3.7%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Werder Bremen?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Werder will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 17.2% – 54.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Werder (votes: 3 - 75%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
- Union Berlin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Werder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong
(Ankle Injury)
Juranovic J.
(Calf Injury)
Kemlein A.
(Foot Injury)
Leite D.
(Neck Injury)
Roussillon J.
(Injury)
Skov R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Werder: Veljkovic M.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Werder Bremen?
Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Union Berlin?
Werder Bremen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Werder Bremen were as follows:
21.12.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Union Berlin
4:1
16.03.2024
Union Berlin
-
Werder Bremen
2:1
28.10.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Union Berlin
2:0
27.05.2023
Union Berlin
-
Werder Bremen
1:0
25.01.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Union Berlin
1:2
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
