Nathan Aspinall vs Wessel Nijman – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Matchplay Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman
Result
6:10
19/07/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Matchplay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports 506
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+

Chances of winning


Nathan Aspinall
54.9%
Wessel Nijman
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nathan Aspinall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wessel Nijman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.61)

    2.07
    (2.23)
    6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 16.50
  • What is the prediction for Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nijman will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nijman (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 10:7.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 7. Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 42.
    • Recent performances by Aspinall have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nijman is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Aspinall is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman 7:6
    14.09.2024 Wessel Nijman - Nathan Aspinall Canceled
    Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
    Latest results of Wessel Nijman
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)van Veen G.8 : 10
    2Noppert D. (16)Menzies C.10 : 2
    3Aspinall N. (8)Nijman W.6 : 10
    4Wade J. (9)Cullen J.10 : 3
    5Bunting S. (4)Joyce R.10 : 8
    6Anderson G. (13)Woodhouse L.10 : 5
    7Clayton J. (5)Schindler M.10 : 7
    8Chisnall D. (12)De Decker M.7 : 10
    9Littler L. (2)Searle R.10 : 2
    10Wright P. (15)Wattimena J.8 : 10
    11Heta D. (7)Gilding A.10 : 12
    12Cross R. (10)van Duijvenbode D.8 : 10
    13van Gerwen M. (3)van Barneveld R.10 : 6
    14Smith R. (14)Rock J.5 : 10
    15Dobey C. (6)Pietreczko R.10 : 5
    16Price G. (11)Gurney D.10 : 7

    1/8-finals
    1van Veen G.Noppert D. (16)11 : 5
    2Nijman W.Wade J. (9)5 : 11
    3Bunting S. (4)Anderson G. (13)12 : 10
    4Clayton J. (5)De Decker M.11 : 8
    5Littler L. (2)Wattimena J.13 : 11
    6Gilding A.van Duijvenbode D.11 : 5
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Rock J.11 : 13
    8Dobey C. (6)Price G. (11)3 : 11

    Quarter-finals
    1van Veen G.Wade J. (9)13 : 16
    2Bunting S. (4)Clayton J. (5)7 : 16
    3Littler L. (2)Gilding A.16 : 14
    4Rock J.Price G. (11)16 : 11

    Semi-finals
    1Wade J. (9)Clayton J. (5)
    2Littler L. (2)Rock J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2