Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, MSG |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (436/492) | 77% (228/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (436/492) | 77% (228/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (78/101) | 55% (47/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
- 29', Lucca Dourado 🟨,
- 36', Palma J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Palma J. ↓, Pierre B. ↑,
- 55', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 56', Obregon J. 🟨,
- 59', Pierre B. 🟨,
- 62', 🟨,
- 68', Okiyoshi T. ↓, Bouman D. ↑,
- 76', Payne S. ↓, Powder S. ↑,
- 79', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 79', Mesias A. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
- 79', Brown N. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 86', Tetteh R. ↓, Mackic E. ↑,
- 87', Viader D. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 87', Gebhard D. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westchester SC
29.8% | Draw
25.7% | Forward Madison
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westchester SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Westchester SC's form might have worsened.Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward Madison's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Westchester SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forward Madison, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Westchester SC - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.46) |
3.75 ↑
(3.27) |
2.17 ↓
(2.52) |
3.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 12).
- Westchester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Westchester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Westchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Westchester SC won against Forward Madison?
Westchester SC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Westchester SC?
Forward Madison has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westchester SC - Forward Madison were as follows:
18.06.2025
Forward Madison
-
Westchester SC
1:2
17.05.2025
Westchester SC
-
Forward Madison
1:1
Latest results of Westchester SC
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Forward Madison | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Union Omaha | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Boise | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Charlotte Independ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Richmond Kickers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Fort Wayne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Greenville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
