Westchester SC vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Westchester SC - Forward Madison
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, MSG

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.47
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
89% (436/492)77% (228/298)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.49
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
89% (436/492)77% (228/298)
Long passes
47% (27/57)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
77% (78/101)55% (47/86)
Crosses
23% (7/31)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.53
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1312
Tackles
50% (5/10)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.490.30
Goals prevented
-0.510.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Gebhard D. ,
  • 29', Lucca Dourado 🟨,
  • 36', Palma J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Palma J. , Pierre B. ,
  • 55', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 56', Obregon J. 🟨,
  • 59', Pierre B. 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 68', Okiyoshi T. , Bouman D. ,
  • 76', Payne S. , Powder S. ,
  • 79', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 79', Mesias A. , Angking I. ,
  • 79', Brown N. , Garcia C. ,
  • 86', Tetteh R. , Mackic E. ,
  • 87', Viader D. , Sousa F. ,
  • 87', Gebhard D. , Boltz D. ,

Chances of winning


Westchester SC
29.8%
Draw
25.7%
Forward Madison
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 27.6% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 27.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Westchester SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Westchester SC's form might have worsened.
  • Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward Madison's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Westchester SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forward Madison, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Westchester SC - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.46)
    3.75
    (3.27)
    2.17
    (2.52)
    3.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 12).
    • Westchester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Westchester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Westchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Westchester SC - Forward Madison were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Forward Madison - Westchester SC 1:2
    17.05.2025 Westchester SC - Forward Madison 1:1
    Latest results of Westchester SC
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville30169543:261757
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves301510542:301255
    3Spokane Velocity30149741:35651
    4FC Naples30138940:32847
    5Union Omaha301371051:391246
    6Tormenta301361155:47845
    7Portland Hearts of Pine301112748:381045
    8Charlotte Independ301071345:50-537
    9AV Alta308121042:47-536
    10Forward Madison308111131:43-1235
    11Greenville30881438:43-532
    12Texoma30791435:55-2030
    13Richmond Kickers30851743:53-1029
    14Westchester SC30591643:59-1624

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