Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, MSG |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
89% (436/492) | 77% (228/298) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.30 | 0.49 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
89% (436/492) | 77% (228/298) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (27/57) | 27% (14/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (78/101) | 55% (47/86) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (7/31) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (5/10) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.49 | 0.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.51 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
- 29', Lucca Dourado 🟨,
- 36', Palma J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Palma J. ↓, Pierre B. ↑,
- 55', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 56', Obregon J. 🟨,
- 59', Pierre B. 🟨,
- 62', 🟨,
- 68', Okiyoshi T. ↓, Bouman D. ↑,
- 76', Payne S. ↓, Powder S. ↑,
- 79', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 79', Mesias A. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
- 79', Brown N. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 86', Tetteh R. ↓, Mackic E. ↑,
- 87', Viader D. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 87', Gebhard D. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westchester SC 29.8% | Draw 25.7% | Forward Madison 44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westchester SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Westchester SC's form might have worsened.Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward Madison's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Westchester SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forward Madison, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Westchester SC - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↑ (2.46) |
3.75 ↑ (3.27) |
2.17 ↓ (2.52) |
3.7% (11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 12).
- Westchester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Westchester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Westchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Westchester SC won against Forward Madison?
Westchester SC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Westchester SC?
Forward Madison has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westchester SC - Forward Madison were as follows:
18.06.2025
Forward Madison
-
Westchester SC
1:2
17.05.2025
Westchester SC
-
Forward Madison
1:1
Latest results of Westchester SC
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
4 | FC Naples ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
6 | Union Omaha | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Tormenta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Charlotte Independ | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 |
9 | Forward Madison | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
10 | AV Alta | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Greenville | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
12 | Texoma | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
13 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 26 |
14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38:55 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )