Result
2:2
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 3.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (221/311) | 79% (309/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 3.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (221/311) | 79% (309/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (66/110) | 68% (92/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Sakamoto I. (Pen),
- 31', Goncalves B. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Toshevski D. ⚽, Ferraro F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sakamoto I. ↓, Alcocer J. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Sayyadmanesh A. (Pen),
- 56', 2 - 1, Nsimba B. ⚽,
- 62', Toshevski D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Nacho ⚽, Piedfort A. (A),
- 69', Yow G. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 72', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
- 78', Kvet R. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 81', Sayyadmanesh A. 🟨,
- 84', Mbamba N. 🟨,
- 86', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 86', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 87', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Piedfort A. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
32.8% | Draw
26.3% | Westerlo
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Dender EH - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.68) |
3.59 ↓
(3.65) |
2.33 ↓
(2.4) |
5.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Westerlo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Westerlo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Recent performances by Dender EH have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Westerlo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
Haidara B.
(Injury)
Rommens T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L.
(Injury)
Nsimba B.
(Injury)
Toshevski D.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Westerlo?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Dender EH?
Westerlo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Westerlo were as follows:
25.10.2025
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
1:1
02.05.2025
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
4:2
30.03.2025
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
08.12.2024
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
01.11.2024
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
2:0
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
