Result
4:2
02/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 7
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 3.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (321/414) | 74% (271/365) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 3.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (321/414) | 74% (271/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (89/135) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/32) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Nsimba B. (Pen),
- 37', 0 - 1, Kvet R. ⚽, Hrncar D. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Sayyadmanesh A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 2, Nsimba B. (Pen),
- 62', Simons T. 🟨,
- 63', Haspolat D. 🟨,
- 65', Reynolds B. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
- 66', Neustadter R. ↓, Vuskovic L. ↑,
- 70', Ferraro F. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
- 72', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Frigan M. ⚽, Haspolat D. (A),
- 78', Kvet R. ↓, Hens L. ↑,
- 78', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 78', Viltard M. ↓, Van Oudenhove J. ↑,
- 78', Masangu K. ↓, Cools K. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Yow G. (Pen),
- 90+4', Frigan M. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
- 90+4', Sakamoto I. ↓, Piedfort A. ↑,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Sydorchuk S. ⚽, Slimani I. (A),
Chances of winning
Westerlo
55.4% | Draw
22.6% | Dender EH
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Westerlo - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.78) |
4.2 ↑
(4) |
4.27 ↑
(4.21) |
5.5%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Westerlo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Bos J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Lallemand M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbamba N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Oratmangoen R.
(Illness)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Westerlo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Dender EH?
Westerlo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Westerlo?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Dender EH were as follows:
30.03.2025
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
08.12.2024
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
01.11.2024
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
2:0
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
