Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 12
- Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/463) | 66% (189/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/463) | 66% (189/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (32/53) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (108/160) | 45% (39/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Toshevski D. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
- 6', Viltard M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 1, Van den Keybus T. ⚽, Sakamoto I. (A),
- 70', Nacho 🟨,
- 71', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 72', Sambu M. ↓, Cools K. ↑,
- 74', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 74', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
- 81', Ferraro F. 🟨,
- 82', Viltard M. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 84', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Bujupi E. ↑,
- 87', Bujupi E. 🟨,
- 88', Alcocer J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 90+2', Nsimba B. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
54.4% | Draw
23.8% | Dender EH
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Westerlo - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.6) |
4.09 ↓
(4.35) |
4.53 ↓
(4.8) |
3.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
Westerlo will win
(30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Westerlo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In recent matches, Westerlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dender EH has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Westerlo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
Haidara B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Verrips M.
(Knock)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Dender EH?
Westerlo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Westerlo?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Dender EH were as follows:
02.05.2025
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
4:2
30.03.2025
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
08.12.2024
Dender EH
-
Westerlo
1:0
01.11.2024
Westerlo
-
Dender EH
2:0
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Gent | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Genk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Waregem | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Leuven | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Antwerp | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Dender | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
