Result
0:3
14/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 75% (233/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 75% (233/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (117/164) | 55% (42/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.85 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Sakamoto I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Yow G. (Pen),
- 57', Sissako A. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 3, Bayram E. ⚽, Haspolat D. (A),
- 59', Ferrari A. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
- 59', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 59', Van Helden R. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 61', Reynolds B. 🟨,
- 67', Jungdal A. 🟨,
- 69', Hata T. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 71', Yow G. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 76', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 89', Piedfort A. ↓, Fixelles M. ↑,
- 89', Alcocer J. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
39% | Draw
27.5% | Westerlo
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Sint-Truidense - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.18) |
3.73 ↓
(3.83) |
3.08 ↑
(2.9) |
-3.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 62.1% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 4.
- Sint-Truidense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Westerlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sint-Truidense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Lapoussin L.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Westerlo?
Sint-Truidense has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Sint-Truidense?
Westerlo has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Westerlo were as follows:
05.07.2025
Westerlo
-
Sint-Truidense
1:3
11.01.2025
Westerlo
-
Sint-Truidense
1:2
26.10.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Westerlo
2:0
03.05.2024
Westerlo
-
Sint-Truidense
2:2
31.03.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Westerlo
2:0
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
