Result
0:2
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (413/499) | 73% (252/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (413/499) | 73% (252/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (99/160) | 54% (55/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Nielsen C. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
- 36', Abid A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Abid A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fossey M. ↓, Lawrence H. ↑,
- 46', Yow G. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 47', Lawrence H. 🟨,
- 62', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
- 63', Said R. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
- 77', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
- 77', Piedfort A. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
- 81', Alcocer J. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 83', Dierckx D. ↓, Hautekiet I. ↑,
- 83', Henry T. 🟨,
- 87', Karamoko I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Sahabo H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
32.8% | Draw
29.8% | Standard Liège
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Westerlo's form might have worsened.Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Standard Liège's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Westerlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Standard Liège, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Westerlo - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(1.71) |
4.33 ↑
(4) |
3.36 ↓
(4.1) |
-23.3%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Standard Liège?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Standard (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Westerlo will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Westerlo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 6 - 75%). Standard (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
- Westerlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Standard is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Westerlo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Standard: Homawoo J.
(Injury)
Nkada T.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Standard Liège?
Westerlo has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Westerlo?
Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Standard Liège were as follows:
24.05.2025
Westerlo
-
Standard Liège
0:0
19.04.2025
Standard Liège
-
Westerlo
1:1
09.02.2025
Westerlo
-
Standard Liège
4:2
28.09.2024
Standard Liège
-
Westerlo
1:2
10.05.2024
Standard Liège
-
Westerlo
0:0
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
