Result
24:56
14/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 1
- Referee: Way J. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 154 | 111 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 354 | 341 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 14)
- 6', Ekuasi V. (Try),
- 7', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Shaw L. ↓, MacPherson T. ↑,
- 18', MacPherson T. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
- 21', Donaldson B. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Cale C. (Try),
- 23', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Champion de Crespigny R. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
- 34', Meredith D. (Try),
- 35', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 42)
- 44', Van Nek R. (Try),
- 45', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Lonergan R. (Try),
- 50', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
- 51', Robertson T. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
- 51', Pollard B. ↓, Bowron L. ↑,
- 51', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Epenisa M. ↑,
- 51', Stewart H. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
- 54', Molina F. (Try),
- 55', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Molina F. ↓, Swain D. ↑,
- 55', Hastie N. ↓, Robertson H. ↑,
- 60', Meredith D. (Try),
- 61', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Van Nek R. ↓, Alatini T. ↑,
- 62', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
- 62', Neville C. ↓, MacPherson T. ↑,
- 62', Meredith D. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
- 65', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Oviedo L. ↑,
- 66', Muirhead A. ↓, Creighton H. ↑,
- 66', Lonergan R. ↓, Thorn K. ↑,
- 67', Toole C. (Try),
- 68', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Palu D. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 78', Tizzano C. (Try),
- 78', Cale C. (Try),
- 78', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Alatini T. 🟨,
- 80+2', Sapsford O. (Try),
- 80+2', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Western Force
46.8% | Draw
4.1% | Brumbies
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Force's performance.Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brumbies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Western Force - Brumbies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.71) |
22.56 ↑
(20.34) |
1.88 ↑
(1.51) |
8.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Western Force - Brumbies?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Western Force will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Brumbies will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brumbies: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Western Force (votes: 1 - 50%). Brumbies (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +3.5 - Western Force (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 - Western Force (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Western Force (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Western Force (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Western Force (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Brumbies (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:31.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 2.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 401:602. (average 20.1:30.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 233:321. (average 21.2:29.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Western Force won against Brumbies?
Western Force has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Western Force?
Brumbies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western Force - Brumbies were as follows:
20.09.2025
Western Force
-
Brumbies
46:35
10.05.2025
Western Force
-
Brumbies
14:33
22.02.2025
Brumbies
-
Western Force
42:45
01.06.2024
Western Force
-
Brumbies
19:24
08.03.2024
Brumbies
-
Western Force
22:19
Latest results of Western Force
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
