Western Force vs Brumbies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Western Force - Brumbies
Result
14:33
10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
canadaCanadaTSN+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
25
Conversion Goals
24
Conversion Goal Attempts
25
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
10080
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
72218
Metres Run With Ball
249574
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 14)
  • 20', Lolesio N. , Meredith D. ,
  • 22', Koteka K. (Try),
  • 23', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Ikitau L. (Try),
  • 28', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+1', Toole C. (Try),
  • 40+2', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 19)
  • 43', Shaw L. , Tualima T. ,
  • 49', Scott R. , Reimer L. ,
  • 53', Slipper J. , Ieli L. ,
  • 54', Alaalatoa A. , Van Nek R. ,
  • 56', De Crespigny N. 🟨,
  • 58', Lonergan L. , Bowron L. ,
  • 58', Robertson H. , White N. ,
  • 58', Beale K. , Burey M. ,
  • 58', Coxon R. , Moli A. ,
  • 62', Feliuai D. , Sapsford O. ,
  • 62', Dolly N. , Horton T. ,
  • 64', Hooper T. (Try),
  • 65', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Robertson T. , Tauakipulu T. ,
  • 65', Stewart H. , Tomkinson S. ,
  • 65', Harris W. , Prinsep R. ,
  • 68', Grealy M. (Try),
  • 69', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Sapsford O. (Try),
  • 73', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Bowron L. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Western Force
35.2%
Draw
4%
Brumbies
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 3.3% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 3.7% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brumbies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Western Force - Brumbies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.54)
    23.27
    (28)
    1.52
    (1.55)
    8.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 59.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Western Force - Brumbies?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Brumbies will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:33.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 2.
    • Western Force is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brumbies is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Brumbies may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Brumbies is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 369:590. (average 18.5:29.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 194:268. (average 19.4:26.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Force - Brumbies were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Brumbies - Western Force 42:45
    01.06.2024 Western Force - Brumbies 19:24
    08.03.2024 Brumbies - Western Force 22:19
    20.05.2023 Western Force - Brumbies 34:19
    Latest results of Western Force
    02.05.2025 Blues - Western Force 40:19
    25.04.2025 Chiefs - Western Force 56:22
    19.04.2025 Western Force - Hurricanes 17:17
    05.04.2025 Western Force - Highlanders 29:20
    29.03.2025 Reds - Western Force 28:24
    Latest results of Brumbies
    03.05.2025 Brumbies - Waratahs 40:17
    26.04.2025 Brumbies - Hurricanes 29:35
    19.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Brumbies 0:24
    12.04.2025 Reds - Brumbies 26:39
    28.03.2025 Brumbies - Highlanders 34:27
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12