Result
38:7
16/05/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 100 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 125 | 23 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 579 | 282 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 7)
- 3', Tomkinson S. (Try),
- 3', Harford A. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Robertson H. 🟨,
- 29', Baselala P. (Try),
- 30', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Coxon R. ↓, Moli A. ↑,
- 36', Masi I. (Try),
- 37', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 0)
- 41', Harris W. ↓, Nofoagatotoa T. ↑,
- 41', Tomkinson S. ↓, Donaldson B. ↑,
- 47', Armstrong-Ravula I. ↓, Muntz C. ↑,
- 47', Tawake S. ↓, Doge M. ↑,
- 49', Canakaivata E. (Try),
- 50', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Robertson T. ↓, Tauakipulu T. ↑,
- 51', Robertson H. ↓, Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↑,
- 51', Dolly N. ↓, Paenga-Amosa B. ↑,
- 52', Vocevoce M. ↓, Rotuisolia R. L. ↑,
- 56', Hetet H. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
- 66', Canakaivata E. (Try),
- 67', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Baselala P. ↓, Nawai L. ↑,
- 68', Swain D. ↓, Carter S. ↑,
- 70', Tuwai I. ↓, Salawa K. ↑,
- 72', Ikanivere T. ↓, Dolokoto M. ↑,
- 72', Pasitoa R. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
- 74', Ravutaumada S. (Try),
- 74', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Samusamuvodre T. ↓, Tabuavou I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fijian Drua
72.2% | Draw
3.6% | Western Force
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fijian Drua's performance.Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fijian Drua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Force could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fijian Drua - Western Force Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.43) |
26.01 ↑
(24.5) |
3.85 ↑
(2.95) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 58.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 1.
- Recent performances by Fijian Drua have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Western Force is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Western Force may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fijian Drua is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 136:233. (average 19.4:33.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fijian Drua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 64:71. (average 21.3:23.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fijian Drua won against Western Force?
Fijian Drua has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Force won against Fijian Drua?
Western Force has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fijian Drua - Western Force were as follows:
23.03.2025
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
52:15
11.05.2024
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
48:10
29.03.2024
Fijian Drua
-
Western Force
31:13
12.05.2023
Western Force
-
Fijian Drua
34:14
Latest results of Fijian Drua
Latest results of Western Force
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
