Moana Pasifika vs Western Force – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
19:35
27/02/2026 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion goals
25
Conversion goal attempts
35
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
67100
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
92113
Metres run with ball
310331

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 21)
  • 1', Donaldson B. , Burey M. ,
  • 3', Burey M. , Donaldson B. ,
  • 5', Lancaster D. (Try),
  • 6', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Sanerivi M. (Try),
  • 20', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Johnson-Holmes H. , Epenisa M. ,
  • 32', Swain D. (Try),
  • 33', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Paea S. , Afungia T. ,
  • 40', Bridge G. (Try),
  • 40+1', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 14)
  • 41', Afungia T. , Paea S. ,
  • 41', Epenisa M. , Johnson-Holmes H. ,
  • 48', Lalomilo L. , Latu T. ,
  • 48', Robertson T. , Faagase S. ,
  • 49', Hastie N. , Moyano A. ,
  • 50', Molina F. , Faifua L. ,
  • 54', Johnson-Holmes H. , Epenisa M. ,
  • 54', Dolly N. , Oviedo L. ,
  • 56', Apoua C. , Faleiva L. ,
  • 56', Pellegrini P. , Garden-Bachop J. ,
  • 56', Pole A. , Hala M. ,
  • 61', Savage T. , Tauelangi O. ,
  • 61', Sanerivi M. , Moli S. ,
  • 61', Tizzano C. (Try),
  • 62', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Lancaster D. , Beale K. ,
  • 66', Ekuasi V. , Harris W. ,
  • 68', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. , Afungia T. ,
  • 69', Oviedo L. (Try),
  • 70', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Donaldson B. , Burey M. ,
  • 72', Taumateine J. , Matavao M. ,
  • 75', Matavao M. (Try),
  • 76', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Craig A. (Try),
  • 80', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


Moana Pasifika
58.8%
Draw
4.1%
Western Force
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 3.7% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moana Pasifika's performance.
  • Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Moana Pasifika - Western Force Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.73)
    23.09
    (24.79)
    2.48
    (2.12)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)
    • Moana Pasifika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 112:128. (average 28:32).
    • Including home match between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:48.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moana Pasifika - Western Force were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Western Force - Moana Pasifika 45:44
    15.03.2024 Western Force - Moana Pasifika 14:22
    11.03.2023 Western Force - Moana Pasifika 21:18
    Latest results of Moana Pasifika
    20.02.2026 Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika 52:10
    13.02.2026 Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika 26:40
    31.05.2025 Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika 64:12
    24.05.2025 Chiefs - Moana Pasifika 85:7
    17.05.2025 Moana Pasifika - Blues 27:21
    Latest results of Western Force
    21.02.2026 Western Force - Blues 32:42
    14.02.2026 Western Force - Brumbies 24:56
    05.10.2025 Western Force - Waratahs 26:33
    28.09.2025 Western Force - Reds 22:47
    20.09.2025 Western Force - Brumbies 46:35
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12