Parramatta Eels vs Wests Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
20:22 OT
06/04/2026 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion goals
13
Conversion goal attempts
43
Penalty goals
12
Penalty goal attempts
32
Goals %
29100
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
177224
Metres run with ball
14671878

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 12)
  • 11', Simonsson B. (Try),
  • 13', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
  • 15', Paulo J. (Try),
  • 16', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', Doueihi A. (Try),
  • 31', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Bula J. (Try),
  • 37', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 8)
  • 43', Tavana F. (Try),
  • 45', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Twidle A. (Try),
  • 61', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
  • 62', Twidle A. (Try),
  • 64', Da Silva T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 78', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Madden J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Moses M. (Missed Penalty),
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 82', Moses M. (Missed Penalty),
  • 85', Madden J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Parramatta Eels
48.2%
Draw
4.6%
Wests Tigers
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 4.6% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 4.7% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parramatta Eels's form might have worsened.
  • Wests Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wests Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wests Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.71)
    18.91
    (20.11)
    1.96
    (2.27)
    7.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 2.
    • In recent matches, Parramatta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wests is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Parramatta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 522:389. (average 26.1:19.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 217:171. (average 24.1:19).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Wests Tigers - Parramatta Eels 22:38
    16.03.2025 Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers 6:32
    21.02.2025 Wests Tigers - Parramatta Eels 18:12
    06.09.2024 Wests Tigers - Parramatta Eels 26:60
    01.04.2024 Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers 16:17
    Latest results of Parramatta Eels
    Latest results of Wests Tigers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )