Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Łódź – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź
Result
3:2
27/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 2
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.17
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (365/439)78% (245/316)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.871.34
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
83% (365/439)78% (245/316)
Long passes
38% (18/48)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
71% (76/107)60% (49/81)
Crosses
11% (2/19)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.200.78
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1218
Tackles
53% (9/17)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.341.87
Goals prevented
-0.66-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Drachal D. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 9', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
  • 14', Shehu J. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Bergier S. , Alvarez F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Pietuszewski O. , Cantero A. ,
  • 59', Drachal D. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 59', Rallis D. , Pululu A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Bergier S. ,
  • 65', Fornalczyk M. , Baena Perez A. ,
  • 65', Selahi L. , Czyz S. ,
  • 70', Flach L. , Jackson A. ,
  • 75', Prip L. , Wojtuszek N. ,
  • 75', Akere S. , Hanousek Mar. ,
  • 76', Alvarez F. , Cybulski K. ,
  • 83', Shehu J. , Pawlowski B. ,
  • 84', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Imaz J. , Vital B. (A),
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Pululu A. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 90+4', Pululu A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Krajewski M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
46.4%
Draw
26.7%
Widzew Łódź
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.9% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27.2% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.1)
    3.58
    (3.45)
    3.61
    (3.21)
    4.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 4.
    • Jagiellonia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Widzew is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Widzew has had a series of home games.
    • Jagiellonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Widzew: Sobol H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok 7:1
    09.03.2025 Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1
    01.09.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź 1:0
    11.02.2024 Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:3
    04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź 2:1
    Latest results of Widzew Łódź
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    8Legia1043313:9415
    9Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    10Rakow1142512:15-314
    11Zaglebie1034321:16513
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

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          Relegation ~ Division 1