Result
2:2
25/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 12 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 12 | 7 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Rafa Santos (Own goal),
- 34', Pazdan M. 🟨,
- 42', Carlitos ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rafa Santos ↓, Spiaczka B. ↑,
- 63', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
- 63', Rafa Lopes ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
- 66', Doba S. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Tkacz D. ⚽,
- 75', Swedrowski T. ↓, Goralski J. ↑,
- 75', Trabka M. ↓, Piazon L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Feiertag S. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
- 85', Deja A. ↓, Bojanczyk K. ↑,
- 85', Spacil B. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
- 90+3', Feiertag S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Bednarczyk J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Wieczysta Kraków 72.4% | Draw 17.8% | Górnik Łęczna 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.58) |
5.4 ↑ (4.15) |
10.13 ↑ (5.2) |
3.8% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wieczysta Kraków will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- Wieczysta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Wieczysta is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Wieczysta will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Wieczysta Kraków won against Górnik Łęczna?
Wieczysta Kraków has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Łęczna won against Wieczysta Kraków?
Górnik Łęczna has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
Latest results of Wieczysta Kraków
Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 53:18 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Chrobry Glogow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Grodzisk M | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39:29 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | S. Rzeszow | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Legnica | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Leczna | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 15 |
| 17 | Tychy | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | Stal Mielec | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 25:48 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2