Wieczysta Kraków vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna
Result
2:2
25/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
127
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
127
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1016
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
148
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Rafa Santos (Own goal),
  • 34', Pazdan M. 🟨,
  • 42', Carlitos , Lysiak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rafa Santos , Spiaczka B. ,
  • 63', Donkor J. , Sandoval D. ,
  • 63', Rafa Lopes , Feiertag S. ,
  • 66', Doba S. , Tkacz D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Tkacz D. ,
  • 75', Swedrowski T. , Goralski J. ,
  • 75', Trabka M. , Piazon L. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Feiertag S. , Semedo L. (A),
  • 85', Deja A. , Bojanczyk K. ,
  • 85', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 90+3', Feiertag S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Bednarczyk J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Wieczysta Kraków
72.4%
Draw
17.8%
Górnik Łęczna
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 22.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.58)
    5.4
    (4.15)
    10.13
    (5.2)
    3.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wieczysta Kraków will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Wieczysta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Wieczysta is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Wieczysta will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2