Result
3:1
02/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 79% (322/406) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 79% (322/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (84/112) | 58% (67/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 44% (11/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.35 | -2.65 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Burns F. 🟨,
- 18', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 22', Harris L. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 0, Weir J. ⚽, Power M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Sanders J. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
- 46', Wiles B. ↓, Gilbey A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Power M. ⚽,
- 62', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 64', Barnett R. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
- 64', Barlaser D. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 64', Nombe S. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 66', Burns F. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 66', Gray C. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
- 72', Costelloe D. 🟨,
- 74', Costelloe D. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Weir J. ⚽, Burrowes B. (A),
- 82', 3 - 1, Collins A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Wigan Athletic
38.6% | Draw
27.1% | Milton Keynes Dons
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wigan Athletic's performance.Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.83) |
3.46 ↑
(3.36) |
2.75 ↑
(2.38) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 56% – 91.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0, 1st Half - MK Dons (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2.
- Wigan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wigan: Saydee C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Wigan Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Wigan Athletic?
Milton Keynes Dons has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League One Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
