Result
1:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/308) | 86% (481/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/308) | 86% (481/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Mullin P. (Pen),
- 23', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 29', Mabaya I. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
- 32', Cotter B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cotter B. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 54', Tickle S. 🟨,
- 64', Brenan T. ↓, Graham L. ↑,
- 64', Mullin P. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 64', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 68', Murray F. 🟨,
- 73', Bennetts K. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 74', Wright C. ↓, McHugh H. ↑,
- 75', Asamoah M. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 83', Weir J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wigan Athletic
48% | Draw
27.6% | Notts County
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Wigan Athletic - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.13) |
3.07 ↓
(3.27) |
3.47 ↑
(3.42) |
18%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Notts County?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Wigan Athletic will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Wigan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Notts County has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Wigan is considered a favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Notts County?
Wigan Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Wigan Athletic?
Notts County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Notts County were as follows:
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
Latest results of Notts County
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
