Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins vs Springfield Thunderbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
04/03/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3122
Shooting PCT
12.9% (4/31)22.73% (5/22)
Goalkeeper Saves
1727
Saves PCT
80.95% (17/21)87.1% (27/31)
Penalties
84
PIM
168
Power-play Goals
22
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)25% (2/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (6/8)50% (2/4)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:00, 0 - 1, Pekarcik J. (G), Peca M. (A), Kaskimaki A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 13:18, 0 - 2, Dube D. (G), Gaudet M. (A), Wagner C. (A2)
  • 14:02, 1 - 2, McDonough A. (G), McGroarty R. (A),
  • 16:15, 1 - 3, Dube D. (G), Peca M. (A), Gaudet M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 01:17, 2 - 3, Howe T. (G), McDonough A. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
  • 10:11, 3 - 3, McDonough A. (G), Klassen G. (A), McGroarty R. (A2)
  • 15:17, 3 - 4, Joseph M. (G), Stenberg O. (A), Lindstein T. (A2)
  • 19:17, 3 - 5, Wagner C. (G), Peca M. (A),
  • 19:28, 4 - 5, Harvey-Pinard R. (G), Koppanen J. (A),

Chances of winning


Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
54.6%
Draw
20.5%
Springfield Thunderbirds
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 17.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 18.1% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins's form might have worsened.
  • Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Springfield Thunderbirds's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.48)
    4.52
    (5.23)
    3.71
    (4.74)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 4.
    • Wilkes-Barre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Springfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Wilkes-Barre has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Springfield has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Wilkes-Barre is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:56. (average 3.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds were as follows:
    18.02.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 2:7
    19.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 2:3
    15.11.2025 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds 3:1
    12.04.2025 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:1
    22.02.2025 Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 5:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs55155431148:18844
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles54267813178:13574
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors562181017190:17868
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds53199520176:16761
    6San Diego Gulls541951218158:15760
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners541312821171:18058
    9Calgary Wranglers551091422149:20052
    10Abbotsford Canucks56128630128:19146


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )