NAC Breda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.362.13
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.55
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
89
Tackles
52% (12/23)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.132.36
Goals prevented
1.131.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ,
  • 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', St. Jago T. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 64', Janosek D. , Fernandes S. ,
  • 73', Meerveld R. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 73', Kehrer E. , van Loon P. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Bosch J. ,
  • 75', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Leemans C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
  • 85', Lambert B. , Pivas M. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Paula R. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.8% 33.9%

NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(2.34)
3.78
(3.2)
4.61
(2.97)
4.7%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Breda (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 22 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned
    25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1
    11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

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