Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 34
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.72 | 1.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
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87% (450/518) | 79% (324/411) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.72 | 1.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.36 | 2.13 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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28 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
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87% (450/518) | 79% (324/411) |
Long passes |
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70% (23/33) | 41% (23/56) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (160/197) | 62% (48/78) |
Crosses |
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25% (6/24) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.82 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 24 |
Fouls |
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8 | 9 |
Tackles |
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52% (12/23) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
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56 | 44 |
Clearances |
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20 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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2.13 | 2.36 |
Goals prevented |
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1.13 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ⚽,
- 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', St. Jago T. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
- 64', Janosek D. ↓, Fernandes S. ↑,
- 73', Meerveld R. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
- 73', Kehrer E. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 73', Lachkar A. ↓, Bosch J. ↑,
- 75', Omarsson E. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 75', Leemans C. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
- 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
- 85', Lambert B. ↓, Pivas M. ↑,
- 86', Sauer L. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda 54.2% | Draw 25.2% | Willem II 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NAC Breda - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (2.34) |
3.78 ↑ (3.2) |
4.61 ↑ (2.97) |
4.7% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
NAC Breda will win
(30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
- Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B.
(Knee Injury)
Versluis D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R.
(Red Card)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Sandra C.
(Injury)
Sigurgeirsson R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Willem II?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against NAC Breda?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
24.11.2024
Willem II
-
NAC Breda
2:2
22.12.2023
NAC Breda
-
Willem II
1:2
05.09.2023
Willem II
-
NAC Breda
Abandoned
25.04.2023
NAC Breda
-
Willem II
1:1
11.12.2022
Willem II
-
NAC Breda
1:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie