NAC Breda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Willem II
Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.362.13
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.55
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
89
Tackles
52% (12/23)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.132.36
Goals prevented
1.131.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ,
  • 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', St. Jago T. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 64', Janosek D. , Fernandes S. ,
  • 73', Meerveld R. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 73', Kehrer E. , van Loon P. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Bosch J. ,
  • 75', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Leemans C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
  • 85', Lambert B. , Pivas M. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Paula R. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.8% 33.9%

NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(2.34)
3.78
(3.2)
4.61
(2.97)
4.7%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned
    25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1
    11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord1191130:102028
    2PSV1191135:161928
    3AZ Alkmaar1173124:131124
    4Ajax1155121:15620
    5Groningen1161417:15219
    6Utrecht1151520:15516
    7Twente1244420:18216
    8Sittard1251618:20-216
    9Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    10Nijmegen1143427:20715
    11Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    12G.A. Eagles1134417:17013
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

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