NAC Breda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.362.13
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.55
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
89
Tackles
52% (12/23)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.132.36
Goals prevented
1.131.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ,
  • 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', St. Jago T. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 64', Janosek D. , Fernandes S. ,
  • 73', Meerveld R. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 73', Kehrer E. , van Loon P. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Bosch J. ,
  • 75', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Leemans C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
  • 85', Lambert B. , Pivas M. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Paula R. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.8% 33.9%

NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(2.34)
3.78
(3.2)
4.61
(2.97)
4.7%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned
    25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1
    11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV16141150:203043
    2Feyenoord16111441:202134
    3Ajax1685330:201029
    4Nijmegen1684441:271428
    5Groningen1682624:21326
    6AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    7Twente1666425:20524
    8Utrecht1665527:21623
    9Heerenveen1655626:26020
    10Sparta Rotterdam1662817:31-1420
    11Zwolle1654720:36-1619
    12G.A. Eagles1646625:28-318
    13Sittard1653821:26-518
    14Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    15FC Volendam1635819:30-1114
    16Heracles16421026:41-1514
    17NAC Breda1634916:25-913
    18Telstar1626819:27-812

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