NAC Breda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.362.13
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.55
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
89
Tackles
52% (12/23)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.132.36
Goals prevented
1.131.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ,
  • 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', St. Jago T. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 64', Janosek D. , Fernandes S. ,
  • 73', Meerveld R. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 73', Kehrer E. , van Loon P. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Bosch J. ,
  • 75', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Leemans C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
  • 85', Lambert B. , Pivas M. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Paula R. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.8% 33.9%

NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(2.34)
3.78
(3.2)
4.61
(2.97)
4.7%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned
    25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1
    11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
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