NAC Breda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda).

Eredivisie - Round 34
Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	1.64
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
87% (450/518)	79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.36	2.13
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
28	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
87% (450/518)	79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)	62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.82	0.55
Throw-ins
14	24
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
52% (12/23)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
56	44
Clearances
20	21
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
2.13	2.36
Goals prevented
1.13	1.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ⚽,
42', Greiml L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', St. Jago T. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
64', Janosek D. ↓, Fernandes S. ↑,
73', Meerveld R. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
73', Kehrer E. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
73', Lachkar A. ↓, Bosch J. ↑,
75', Omarsson E. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
75', Leemans C. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
85', Lambert B. ↓, Pivas M. ↑,
86', Sauer L. ↓, Paula R. ↑,

Chances of winning

NAC Breda
54.2%

Draw
25.2%

Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.34)	3.78 ↑ (3.2)	4.61 ↑ (2.97)	4.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?

Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Willem II?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against NAC Breda?

Willem II has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:

24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2

22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2

05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned

25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1

11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2

Latest results of NAC Breda

14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3 ✺

24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Willem II 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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