Result
1:3
01/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/441) | 72% (214/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/441) | 72% (214/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (96/140) | 58% (65/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (4/33) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Kaandorp M. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Kaandorp M. (A),
- 17', 1 - 2, Nizet R. ⚽,
- 22', Bakker D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 3, Kaandorp M. ⚽, Koswal D. (A),
- 64', Behounek R. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 64', Sandra C. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
- 64', Kehrer E. ↓, Sigurgeirsson R. ↑,
- 71', Bosch J. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
- 72', Rossen N. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
- 74', Bokila J. 🟨,
- 76', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 78', Kaandorp M. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
- 80', Nizet R. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 81', St. Jago T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Noslin T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
46.4% | Draw
27.1% | Telstar
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Willem II - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.95) |
3.52 ↓
(3.6) |
3.56 ↓
(3.97) |
4.9%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - Telstar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- Recent performances by Willem II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Telstar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Razak K.
(Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Telstar?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Willem II?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Telstar were as follows:
29.05.2025
Telstar
-
Willem II
2:2
10.05.2024
Willem II
-
Telstar
3:2
24.11.2023
Telstar
-
Willem II
1:5
05.05.2023
Telstar
-
Willem II
0:0
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
