Wilson Leite vs Valentin Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
09
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
67%62%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (44/70)73% (54/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (23/35)58% (26/45)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)93% (13/14)
1st Return Points Won
27% (20/74)43% (30/70)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (19/45)34% (12/35)
Break Points Converted
7% (1/14)22% (2/9)
Winners
3041
Unforced Errors
4951
Net Points Won
62% (13/21)69% (20/29)
Service Points Won
64% (67/105)67% (80/119)
Return Points Won
33% (39/119)36% (38/105)
Total Points Won
47% (106/224)53% (118/224)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Wilson Leite
61.9%
Valentin Basel
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wilson Leite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wilson Leite's performance.
  • Valentin Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentin Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wilson Leite that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Basel than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wilson Leite - Valentin Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.66)

    2.43
    (2.09)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Wilson Leite - Valentin Basel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leite is ranked ATP: 851. Basel is ranked ATP: 1115.
    • Leite is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Basel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Wilson Leite
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J. (1)Kuzuhara B. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Justo G. I.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Tobon M. (JR)Torres J. B.0 : 2
    4Dutra Da Silva D.Rodriguez Taverna S. (6)2 : 0
    5Popko D. (RET.) (4)Alves M.0 : 0
    6Heide G.Storck F. L. (WC)
    7Zanellato N. (Q)Villanueva G.
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M.Kicker N. (7)
    9Collarini A. (8)Kestelboim M.
    10Zeitune M. (Q)Pereira J. (WC)
    11Ribeiro E. (Alt)Boscardin Dias P.
    12Negritu Ch.Diaz Acosta F. (3)
    13Prado Angelo J. C. (5)Zeballos F. (Q)
    14Fernandez B. (WC)Basel V. (Q)
    15Luz O. (Q)Zarate C. M. (Q)
    16Sakamoto P.Olivieri G. A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J. (1)Justo G. I.
    2Torres J. B.Dutra Da Silva D.
    3Alves M.TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2